If you had been told on Nov 7....

[Fuzzy Bear Loves Christian Missionaries]

I did not think that Trump would win MI, WI,  and PA.

[Mr. Bullocks]

100%, as soon as I heard his name in the race I knew he was going to win. I figured this country was going to do something stupid and blame it all on someone without political experience. Now here we are with Syria...

[UncleSam]

At 2.1% I’d have said that he would win NC and FL and lose PA and WI. I thought MI was going to be the tipping point state and that he would surprise everyone with how well he did there - it turns out that kind of happened but wasn’t as strong as the swing in WI or PA, which I did not predict at all.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

1-9%.

I thought that Trump would win in OH and sneak out a win in Florida (which he did). However, I absolutely did not think that he would win WI, MI or PA. I also thought that Hillary would sneak out a win in North Carolina but it was the reverse result, Trump did.

[TheSaint250]

0%

At the time, everyone was pretty much in agreement that his path to victory involved Nevada, and the generally held belief was that he wouldn't break the Blue Wall. Therefore, losing Nevada in my mind would mean losing the election.

Also, I didn't think he'd win anyway.

[MT Treasurer]

This was my final ratings map:



Overall, not bad. Too bad I picked the wrong winner (Clinton).

My concern would be on NH though where he was doing better than in the Rust Belt.

That was always nonsense, though.

[Arbitrage1980]

At 2.1% I’d have said that he would win NC and FL and lose PA and WI. I thought MI was going to be the tipping point state and that he would surprise everyone with how well he did there - it turns out that kind of happened but wasn’t as strong as the swing in WI or PA, which I did not predict at all.

MI swung more than WI and PA did, compared to 2012. Obama won MI by 9.5%, WI by 6.7%, and PA by 5.5%.