MN-SEN special: Who wins?
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  MN-SEN special: Who wins?
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Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Pick one
#1
Tina Smith (D)
 
#2
The Republican
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 87

Author Topic: MN-SEN special: Who wins?  (Read 1403 times)
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« on: April 02, 2018, 06:54:06 PM »

Cook now rates this lean D.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #1 on: April 02, 2018, 06:58:25 PM »

What was it previously? Tossup or Likely?
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #2 on: April 02, 2018, 06:59:13 PM »

What was it previously? Tossup or Likely?
It was previously tossup.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #3 on: April 02, 2018, 07:13:24 PM »


Then this is a very reasonable ratings change.
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Canis
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« Reply #4 on: April 02, 2018, 07:16:46 PM »

Should be likely D theres just not a strong enough R candidate facing Tina
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #5 on: April 02, 2018, 07:17:48 PM »

Safe D. Blue state in Democratic year with the ultra popular Amy Klobuchar also on the ballot. Smith beats Karen Housley by double digits.

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Xing
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« Reply #6 on: April 02, 2018, 07:20:39 PM »

Smith, obviously.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #7 on: April 02, 2018, 07:26:13 PM »

Smith
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #8 on: April 02, 2018, 08:03:10 PM »

Tina Smith will win with a map very similar to Obama 2012.
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Perlen vor den Schweinen
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« Reply #9 on: April 02, 2018, 08:14:39 PM »

Safe D. Blue state in Democratic year with the ultra popular Amy Klobuchar also on the ballot. Smith beats Karen Housley by double digits.



With no notable Republican running, it is hard to believe that the race is anything but Safe D, all factors considered (Klobuchar running alongside her, likely Dem wave).

Smith's only potentially offensive trait is her history with Planned Parenthood, being a regional director... which would largely only turn off the most partisan anti-abortion Republicans anyway, who weren't voting for her in the first place.
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Rhenna
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« Reply #10 on: April 02, 2018, 09:07:06 PM »

Safe D. This was never anything less than that and I never understood why the pundits underestimate Smith.
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DemocraticKing
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« Reply #11 on: April 02, 2018, 09:10:50 PM »

Safe D, Tina wins, the end.
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #12 on: April 02, 2018, 09:14:23 PM »

Safe D. Blue state in Democratic year with the ultra popular Amy Klobuchar also on the ballot. Smith beats Karen Housley by double digits.



With no notable Republican running, it is hard to believe that the race is anything but Safe D, all factors considered (Klobuchar running alongside her, likely Dem wave).

Smith's only potentially offensive trait is her history with Planned Parenthood, being a regional director... which would largely only turn off the most partisan anti-abortion Republicans anyway, who weren't voting for her in the first place.
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Tartarus Sauce
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« Reply #13 on: April 02, 2018, 09:25:52 PM »

Safe D. This is simply not a good year for Republicans to pick up a Minnesota Senate seat.
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Badger
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« Reply #14 on: April 03, 2018, 12:14:26 AM »

Safe D. This is simply not a good year for Republicans to pick up a Minnesota Senate seat.

This. Or at least likely d
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
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« Reply #15 on: April 03, 2018, 12:19:20 AM »

Smith will win easily.
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TheRocketRaccoon
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« Reply #16 on: April 03, 2018, 02:14:14 AM »

Likely D. Only thing stopping me from putting it as safe is a potential Richard Painter spoiler run.
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Lamda
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« Reply #17 on: April 09, 2018, 09:40:54 AM »

Tina Smith.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #18 on: April 09, 2018, 10:28:16 AM »

Likely D, and that's only because there are still seven months to go.
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Red Tory Indy
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« Reply #19 on: April 09, 2018, 10:34:09 AM »

Safe D, Republicans have a poor track record of wining statewide in Minnesota anyway and the lack of a strong GOP candidate and the fact 2018 is likley to be a strongly Dem. year overall makes this more or less safe for Democrats.

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Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #20 on: April 09, 2018, 11:01:43 AM »

This race is Safe D in the sense that Tina Smith is going to need a safety job after we fire her in November.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #21 on: April 09, 2018, 02:48:15 PM »

Safe D, Republican candidates are a joke and Tina's pretty popular among Minnesotans. The pollsters are completely wrong on this one.

What Pollsters? I have not seen any public polling.

BTW I wouldn't call state senator Karen Housley (R) a joke. She's going to lose but I would bet she comes closer than Pawlenty does running for governor.
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mcmikk
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« Reply #22 on: April 09, 2018, 05:30:36 PM »

Likely-to-Safe D. The GOP has pretty much 0 chance of picking this up when they have to deal with a blue tidal wave and Klobuchar at the top of the ticket.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #23 on: April 09, 2018, 06:25:32 PM »

This race is Safe D in the sense that Tina Smith is going to need a safety job after we fire her in November.
You are completely wrong if you think this can flip.

You may want to take a look at the username if you want to understand what is going on here.
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Sherrod Brown Shill
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« Reply #24 on: April 10, 2018, 08:53:27 AM »

Really I think Smith will win doubled digits and on November 5th it will be rated Safe D but I guess since we don't know how the race will be Likely D seems the most reasonable.
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