MN-SEN special: Who wins?

[Greedo punched first]

Cook now rates this lean D.

[KingSweden]

What was it previously? Tossup or Likely?

[Greedo punched first]

What was it previously? Tossup or Likely?

It was previously tossup.

[KingSweden]

What was it previously? Tossup or Likely?

It was previously tossup.

Then this is a very reasonable ratings change.

[Canis]

Should be likely D theres just not a strong enough R candidate facing Tina

[Minnesota Mike]

Safe D. Blue state in Democratic year with the ultra popular Amy Klobuchar also on the ballot. Smith beats Karen Housley by double digits.

[Xing]

Smith, obviously.

[Greedo punched first]

Smith

[LimoLiberal]

Tina Smith will win with a map very similar to Obama 2012.

[Perlen vor den Schweinen]

Safe D. Blue state in Democratic year with the ultra popular Amy Klobuchar also on the ballot. Smith beats Karen Housley by double digits.

With no notable Republican running, it is hard to believe that the race is anything but Safe D, all factors considered (Klobuchar running alongside her, likely Dem wave).

Smith's only potentially offensive trait is her history with Planned Parenthood, being a regional director... which would largely only turn off the most partisan anti-abortion Republicans anyway, who weren't voting for her in the first place.

[Rhenna]

Safe D. This was never anything less than that and I never understood why the pundits underestimate Smith.

[DemocraticKing]

Safe D, Tina wins, the end.

[TheSaint250]

Safe D. Blue state in Democratic year with the ultra popular Amy Klobuchar also on the ballot. Smith beats Karen Housley by double digits.

With no notable Republican running, it is hard to believe that the race is anything but Safe D, all factors considered (Klobuchar running alongside her, likely Dem wave).

Smith's only potentially offensive trait is her history with Planned Parenthood, being a regional director... which would largely only turn off the most partisan anti-abortion Republicans anyway, who weren't voting for her in the first place.

[Tartarus Sauce]

Safe D. This is simply not a good year for Republicans to pick up a Minnesota Senate seat.

[Badger]

Safe D. This is simply not a good year for Republicans to pick up a Minnesota Senate seat.

This. Or at least likely d

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Smith will win easily.

[TheRocketRaccoon]

Likely D. Only thing stopping me from putting it as safe is a potential Richard Painter spoiler run.

[Lamda]

Tina Smith.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Likely D, and that's only because there are still seven months to go.

[Red Tory Indy]

Safe D, Republicans have a poor track record of wining statewide in Minnesota anyway and the lack of a strong GOP candidate and the fact 2018 is likley to be a strongly Dem. year overall makes this more or less safe for Democrats.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

This race is Safe D in the sense that Tina Smith is going to need a safety job after we fire her in November.

[Minnesota Mike]

Safe D, Republican candidates are a joke and Tina's pretty popular among Minnesotans. The pollsters are completely wrong on this one.

What Pollsters? I have not seen any public polling.

BTW I wouldn't call state senator Karen Housley (R) a joke. She's going to lose but I would bet she comes closer than Pawlenty does running for governor.

[mcmikk]

Likely-to-Safe D. The GOP has pretty much 0 chance of picking this up when they have to deal with a blue tidal wave and Klobuchar at the top of the ticket.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

This race is Safe D in the sense that Tina Smith is going to need a safety job after we fire her in November.

You are completely wrong if you think this can flip.

You may want to take a look at the username if you want to understand what is going on here.

[Sherrod Brown Shill]

Really I think Smith will win doubled digits and on November 5th it will be rated Safe D but I guess since we don't know how the race will be Likely D seems the most reasonable.