Will Edwards be Popular and Reelected?

[Bojack Horseman]

I think he'll be popular, but he won't win re-election, for the same reason that Mark Kirk is at least lukewarm in Illinois, but has absolutely zero chance of winning re-election next fall: the numbers in the state you're running in. If you had a Republican like Jay Dardenne or Scott Angelle run in 2019, JBE is a goner.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I think he'll be popular, but he won't win re-election, for the same reason that Mark Kirk is at least lukewarm in Illinois, but has absolutely zero chance of winning re-election next fall: the numbers in the state you're running in. If you had a Republican like Jay Dardenne or Scott Angelle run in 2019, JBE is a goner.

Well, not exactly like Dardenne, considering he endorsed Edwards.

[ElectionsGuy]

Very possibly. The state GOP looks weak to me.

They have every position of power statewide except Governor.

[Miles]

Very possibly. The state GOP looks weak to me.

They have every position of power statewide except Governor.

From an internal/institutional perspective, they're not particularly strong.

[ElectionsGuy]

Very possibly. The state GOP looks weak to me.

They have every position of power statewide except Governor.

From an internal/institutional perspective, they're not particularly strong.

True that, in comparison to other southern state Republican parties. The LADP seems to run strong candidates despite little established control.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

I think he'll be popular, but he won't win re-election, for the same reason that Mark Kirk is at least lukewarm in Illinois, but has absolutely zero chance of winning re-election next fall: the numbers in the state you're running in. If you had a Republican like Jay Dardenne or Scott Angelle run in 2019, JBE is a goner.

Governor =/= Senator. One has to be an almost extraordinarily talented politician to survive as a senator in a state very much opposed to your party. It's a fair bit easier as a Governor, because you can simply grandstand between the legislature and your national party.

[Ebsy]

I think he'll be popular, but he won't win re-election, for the same reason that Mark Kirk is at least lukewarm in Illinois, but has absolutely zero chance of winning re-election next fall: the numbers in the state you're running in. If you had a Republican like Jay Dardenne or Scott Angelle run in 2019, JBE is a goner.

Governor =/= Senator. One has to be an almost extraordinarily talented politician to survive as a senator in a state very much opposed to your party. It's a fair bit easier as a Governor, because you can simply grandstand between the legislature and your national party.

If their is one thing everyone hates more than the governor, it is those goddamn cretins in the state legislature!

[Free Bird]

Edwards got really, really lucky this year. He ran against an inept, scandal-ridden low-energy loser while Jindal's terrible approval ratings gave him an enormous boost. He would have lost had he run against ANY other Republican.

Depends on if he acts like he did during the campaign or not.

And I assume that he won't, so I'll say he loses reelection. Especially if Clinton wins in 2016, I expect the Democrats to get crushed across-the-board in 2018/19. It all depends on his opponent and whether the Republicans can define him early enough, though. His chances of winning reelection are probably the same as Larry Hogan's in Maryland.

Except Hogan is already really popular. He'll probably have the Pataki effect on his side.

[JoshPA]

Depends on the republican running in 2019.

[RINO Tom]

Edwards got really, really lucky this year. He ran against an inept, scandal-ridden low-energy loser while Jindal's terrible approval ratings gave him an enormous boost. He would have lost had he run against ANY other Republican.

Depends on if he acts like he did during the campaign or not.

And I assume that he won't, so I'll say he loses reelection. Especially if Clinton wins in 2016, I expect the Democrats to get crushed across-the-board in 2018/19. It all depends on his opponent and whether the Republicans can define him early enough, though. His chances of winning reelection are probably the same as Larry Hogan's in Maryland.

TN Vol, I have to say: seeing your ideology seemingly long for an old school populist Southern Democrat/man of the people, both culturally and ecnomically ... and then seeing you pretty much hate every single one that crosses your plate and call them fake moderates is truly perplexing.   Could be wrong about the ideology, but that's the impression I have gotten, haha.

[Rjjr77]

Wow, Edwards has turned out to be a much better governor than I had expected at that time. I definitely think he'll win reelection now.

I don't. Voters have been against his key accomplishments at a high rate, his response to the natural disasters however has boosted his approval rating big, as that becomes less recent I actually expect him to take a tumble.