What are the odds that the map is just Obama 2012 + NC?
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  What are the odds that the map is just Obama 2012 + NC?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: What are the odds?
#1
0-5%		  
#2
5-10%		  
#3
10-20%		  
#4
20-30%		  
#5
30-40%		  
#6
40-50%		  
#7
> 50%		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 80

Author Topic: What are the odds that the map is just Obama 2012 + NC?  (Read 2358 times)
Adam Griffin
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« Reply #25 on: August 28, 2016, 08:21:14 PM »
The odds are very good. See my thread on whether the polls are underestimating Clinton's support and how she can win by as much as 12-13 points without any other state flipping.

This parallels with how the Latino vote can be anywhere from 55 to 90% Democratic (even with variances in turnout) and not flip a single state besides FL.
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Plankton5165
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« Reply #26 on: August 31, 2016, 11:10:23 PM »
Very low chance.
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