What percentage of the Republican vote will Clinton get in the GENERAL?
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  What percentage of the Republican vote will Clinton get in the GENERAL?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Skip
#1
0-5%		  
#2
6-10%		  
#3
11-15%		  
#4
16-20%		  
#5
21%+		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 85

Author Topic: What percentage of the Republican vote will Clinton get in the GENERAL?  (Read 1603 times)
#TheShadowyAbyss
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« on: March 29, 2016, 10:06:48 PM »
Obama got 9% of the Republican vote in 2008 and 6% in 2012. With as many as a 3rd of Republicans saying the will never vote for Trump in a general election, what % of Republicans will vote for Hillary Clinton this fall?

I'd say maybe 7-9%
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: March 29, 2016, 10:16:18 PM »
Around 15% if Trump, 7% if Cruz, and 4% if Kasich.
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Mallow
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« Reply #2 on: March 29, 2016, 10:16:33 PM »
7%, but perhaps with more staying home or voting third party.
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #3 on: March 29, 2016, 10:45:35 PM »
6-10% If Obama could get 9% in 08 and 6% in 12 then I imagine Clinton could easily get above 5% maby even 10-12% against Trump. If Cruz or someone els is the nominee then 5%.
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Higgs
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« Reply #4 on: March 29, 2016, 11:15:27 PM »
8%
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #5 on: March 29, 2016, 11:20:08 PM »
Certainly less than 15%, and most likely less than 10%.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #6 on: March 29, 2016, 11:32:05 PM »
Much depends on whether there's any significant 3rd party / write-in effort.
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RaphaelDLG
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« Reply #7 on: March 29, 2016, 11:33:28 PM »
They will stay home or vote third party if they defect from Trump, not vote for Clinton.

Remember, this is Hillary Clinton we're talking about here - the one from the whole vast right-wing conspiracy?
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #8 on: March 29, 2016, 11:52:43 PM »
A Democrat usually gets anywhere from 5-8%; ditto for the GOP's share of the Democratic vote. I could see her getting something like 11%.
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Vosem
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« Reply #9 on: March 29, 2016, 11:58:43 PM »
This really depends based on who the candidate is. Against trump, the 9% Obama got in 2008 is probably the absolute floor, and I think twice that (so 18%) is a reasonable estimate, though many of them will self-identify as independents instead of Republicans by the time of the election.
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Xing
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« Reply #10 on: March 30, 2016, 12:14:39 AM »
7% against Cruz/Kasich, 7.01% against Trump.
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #11 on: March 30, 2016, 12:24:50 AM »
~10%

Probably a lot of the Obama Republicans will become HRC Republicans (Colin Powell and William Weld are two likely ones).

But by and large, these are people who are defecting from the GOP because the party is a right-wing hot mess that no longer resembles a governing party (the same reason they voted for Obama), not because Trump isn't a "real conservative" (although they certainly hate him all the same). The number of neocons/think tank conservatives in this country who are going to vote for HRC for #NeverTrump reasons probably doesn't exceed 1,000.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #12 on: March 30, 2016, 08:51:35 AM »
With Drumpf around 15%
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Desroko
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« Reply #13 on: March 30, 2016, 08:58:04 AM »
10% against Trump. That's not counting those who simply skip that box.
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Figueira
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« Reply #14 on: March 30, 2016, 09:04:26 AM »
I voted 11-15%, but I really have no idea. People say "But people always vote for their party's nominee!" Well, no one like Trump has won the nomination before, so we really don't know.
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Wisconsin+17
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« Reply #15 on: March 30, 2016, 09:17:51 AM »
15 percent if Trump runs sounds reasonable to me.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #16 on: March 30, 2016, 09:24:29 AM »
Quote from: RaphaelDLG on March 29, 2016, 11:33:28 PM
They will stay home or vote third party if they defect from Trump, not vote for Clinton.

Remember, this is Hillary Clinton we're talking about here - the one from the whole vast right-wing conspiracy?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #17 on: March 30, 2016, 10:12:16 AM »
« Edited: March 30, 2016, 10:14:11 AM by Da-Jon »
My guess it will go above 10%. ALOT depressed GOP will come out just to save the House from going from GOP to Dem should they feel the WH is lost
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #18 on: March 30, 2016, 10:34:55 AM »
Obama already got 7%, Clinton might get 12.
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Cruzcrew
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« Reply #19 on: March 30, 2016, 11:50:44 AM »
Who actually thinks Hillary gets 21+?
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Flake
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« Reply #20 on: March 30, 2016, 12:09:17 PM »
11% if Trump is the nominee.
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