For now, has Obama ...
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Poll
Question: peaked in the polls ?
#1
Yes		  
#2
No		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 36

Author Topic: For now, has Obama ...  (Read 691 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: September 29, 2012, 12:06:06 AM »
Yes, looks like he peaked.

It will be interesting to see how October turns out. I think it would be better for the Obama campaign strategically if their lead margin remains not too high (6-10%), because Democrats might think he has it in the bag and stay home. So better a 3-6% national lead.
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Sbane
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« Reply #1 on: September 29, 2012, 12:08:32 AM »
I really think things will tighten in the end. The economy just isn't looking that good. Obama wins by a comfortable 3-4 point margin, the Democrats hold the Senate and the Republicans keep the house.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #2 on: September 29, 2012, 12:15:23 AM »
This will almost certainly be closer to 2004 than 2008.
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NVGonzalez
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« Reply #3 on: September 29, 2012, 01:20:26 AM »
Not as long as Mitt keeps talking.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #4 on: September 29, 2012, 01:22:29 AM »
« Edited: September 29, 2012, 01:25:41 AM by Former President Polnut »
I think they have for the time being, but the race still has a month to run and weirder things have happened.

I think a Romney win and an Obama blow-out are about as likely as each other...

I expect the PV to be closer to 2004, but the EV will be closer to 2008 (than 2004 that is (for Bush)).

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Politico
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« Reply #5 on: September 29, 2012, 02:06:37 AM »
Like Carter, he peaked too soon.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #6 on: September 29, 2012, 02:42:20 AM »
I fear he has, yes. But we'll need some more polls to be sure.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #7 on: September 29, 2012, 07:37:00 AM »

lol Carter peaked in 1979...
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #8 on: September 29, 2012, 09:09:29 AM »
It depends on the 1st debate. I think he's not peaked.
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Politico
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« Reply #9 on: September 29, 2012, 09:49:35 AM »
« Edited: September 29, 2012, 09:54:44 AM by Politico »

Post-convention, with his primary challenge out of the way, he peaked in mid-October.

You don't always win a football game just by being a touchdown ahead at halftime, especially when your squad is more tired than your opponent because of over-exertion. Even having most of the refs in your pocket is no guarantee of winning.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #10 on: September 29, 2012, 09:56:28 AM »
You're really getting pathetic now...
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #11 on: September 29, 2012, 12:28:09 PM »
I think his margin may shrink but his overall number will not. He will probably be averaging arond 50 within a few weeks, unless something big and bad happens during the debates.
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Oakvale
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« Reply #12 on: September 29, 2012, 12:28:53 PM »
Do we have any reason to believe this, or are we just assuming that the poll surge is too good to last?
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