New York- sienna- Biden +10

[Redban]

48% of voters supporting ‘allow parent groups to override educators decisions on what books should be available to students?’ While only 45% oppose?

This is a very unusual crosstab to use to un-skew the poll.

Abortion and GCB might make some sense, but we're using a crosstab about a PTA-issue? That is some un-skewing gymnastics

[Redban]

NY being about Biden +10 with the national PV being roughly tied and with evidence most of the swing/trend is coming out of NYC has now been a consistent result for a year or more.  It's time to take it seriously. 

It also fits with the 2022 NY statewide election results and the meaningful trend toward Trump in NYC in 2020.  For those who believe on-the-ground campaigning matters a lot, also note that Trump is effectively trapped in NYC for several weeks.

You are wrong Hochul won by 5 not 10 it's trend is D

Schumer won by 13-14% or so