2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[The Free North]

Wow - Iowa looking pretty good for Biden. Who’d have thought he’d win it before FL?

Hes not winning Iowa man.

He's up nearly 14 with 43% reporting, and it's a pretty even geographic mix of the state.

As has been the case with literally every other state. The early vote comes in first, and then the same day vote. The former is Dem, the later is GOP. Bidens numbers in Ohio and NC make Iowa a very unlikely pickup.

[The Free North]

W H E E Z E

https://twitter.com/pcal051/status/1323832944792883200

Yeah some left wing commentators and BLM supporters are just racist.

[The Free North]

Texas 15 is really really close. Out of nowhere.

[The Free North]

The IA vote is pro Biden because the vote in Des Moines and Iowa City is largely in.

[The Free North]

Iowa is closing fast, Trump has it and likely Ernst and with that, the senate likely stays R.

[The Free North]

Yeah Biden is gonna be president. Arizona makes it gg. Even with PA, Trump needs NE-02 and hes not getting that.

So Biden President, Republicans hold on in ME, IA, and NC senate and we have nothing getting done for 2 years. I'm happy with that.

[The Free North]

Trump up solidly in IA now which should shock no one.

[The Free North]

Here's something I need an explanation on: Biden's up 46% in Santa Cruz County, Arizona, which is consistent with Hillary's margin there from 2016. That's a heavily Mexican-American county. Biden's margin in the Rio Grande Valley is nowhere near Hillary's margin in the Rio Grande Valley. Are we missing, like, an enormous number of outstanding, Democratic mail votes there, and a much higher turnout than 2016? Because I can't figure out why those margins would be so wildly different.

The Rio Grande numbers are at or over the 2016 numbers, would guess AZ is behind if anything.

[The Free North]

Trump flipped LaSalle County, TX

Going back tot he Rio Grande issue

54-42 to 55-45

[The Free North]

TX 15 is still very close.

[The Free North]

Florida is actually going to vote to the right of Georgia and North Carolina.

[The Free North]

New Mexico voting to the right of Arizona rn...

Wtf?

Hispanics swings + more rural/non college whites.

The senate race there is only 4% in it with most of Albuqurque in.

2020 is weird man.

[The Free North]

Biden President
Republican Senate (numbers unknown exactly)
Dem House


Lots of money spent for little gain. See everyone tomorrow.

[The Free North]

Uhh...the NM senate race is down to 3.4% with all of Albuquerque in.

[The Free North]

Trump almost won Starr County, TX. The swing there is incredible. Dems in the Rio Grande congressional districts are up like 5% in districts they won by 20+ before.

[The Free North]

Dread from it...run from it....Selzer's accuracy arrives all the same.

Trump +9%
Ernst +7%

[The Free North]

4.5k vote diff in Tx 15

[The Free North]

Dread from it...run from it....Selzer's accuracy arrives all the same.

Trump +9%
Ernst +7%

And its official.

[The Free North]

Check out the California county map. Sheer devastation so far for California Republicans.

Its early vote and it will be better for Dems. As it was in Florida, Iowa, Texas, NC, etc...

[The Free North]

Check out the California county map. Sheer devastation so far for California Republicans.

Its early vote and it will be better for Dems. As it was in Florida, Iowa, Texas, NC, etc...

Except in California the margins tend to decrease for Republicans as the counting continues.

This is not a normal election.

[The Free North]

So potentially we have WI as lean Biden
Michigan and PA slightly to the right of that
Georgia as a possible recount

[The Free North]

Honestly it comes down to GA. If Biden wins, Trump has to win all 3 up north. If Trump wins GA, he only needs 2 which seems doable. No clue which two, i'd rather be Biden right now, but yikes.

[The Free North]

Yeah I don't care who wins, the fact that this happened is insane and again is the story of the election. Counties that havent voted Rep in like 100 years and are 95% hispanic are tossups all of a sudden.

No one saw this coming.

[The Free North]

Yeah I don't care who wins, the fact that this happened is insane and again is the story of the election. Counties that havent voted Rep in like 100 years and are 95% hispanic are tossups all of a sudden.

No one saw this coming.

I knew there would be a hispanic swing, but definitely not like this.

Its a solid 15% across the board and more in some places.

Zapata County last voted for a Republican in 1920 when Harding won like 90 votes to 50.

[The Free North]

I’m starting to think something stinks here

https://twitter.com/DavidManel/status/1323921182622732288

These numbers seem impossible

Exit polls in GA and OH showed 20 point swins to the Republicans this time. Nevada was much closer than expected, the NM senate race was like a 4% shout and NM voted to the right of Colorado.