County Swing Map

[Benj]

Great work! You can really see which areas of the country have large black populations.

Minority in general, really, or at least minorities who vote regularly. A lot of Hispanic and Native American counties swung as much as the heavily or significantly black counties in the South.

Ohio is a bit of a sore thumb, but I'd say upstate New York is the biggest sore thumb for not being easily explained by demographics (the minority counties), economics (at least we know central Ohio has a thriving economy, so its pro-incumbent swing is not that odd) or Sandy (New Jersey and NYC).

[Benj]

What happened in Clark county ID, is it just a case of small amounts of voters being unpredictable (it only had about 300 voters) or is there something else going on?

The county has a rapidly expanding Hispanic population (Hispanics are more than 40% of the population). My guess is that the Hispanics started to turn out this time.

Really? Weird. Why are Hispanics moving into such a random tiny county in Idaho?

[Benj]

Did military areas swing more to Romney a lot more than anywhere else? Perhaps more than Coal and Mormon counties?

I don't know why you'd think that. The Florida Panhandle and the Hampton Roads area of Virginia are the two biggest military regions in the country, and both were pretty steady.

[Benj]

Did military areas swing more to Romney a lot more than anywhere else? Perhaps more than Coal and Mormon counties?

I don't know why you'd think that. The Florida Panhandle and the Hampton Roads area of Virginia are the two biggest military regions in the country, and both were pretty steady.

I looked also for San Diego and Annapolis, which seem to have swung only lightly. McCain possibly outperformed last time, though, with his veteran background.

True, though of those four areas there was a significant swing/trend to McCain only in the Florida Panhandle (where obviously other ...things... were going on in 2008).