Kansas Megathread: Kobach and Kelly and Orman, Oh My!

[windjammer]

Oooooh it's soon the primaries.

I don't think Kolbach will win. He seems to be hated by many inside the GOP.

[windjammer]

It seems Colyer is going to win by 1000 votes, unless the precincts remaining are located in pro kobach areas

[windjammer]

I think the margin can change with the absentees etc

[windjammer]

https://twitter.com/thatelliotmetz/status/1027679216752623616

It would be hilarious if Kobach loses because of voter fraud

[windjammer]

Tmth, why is it so favorable to Kobach?
I thought absentees were going to favor Colyer...


When was the last time an incumbent governor got defeated in the primaries?

[windjammer]

https://twitter.com/BryanLowry3/status/1029462073602965506

This needs to happen - it is a guaranteed lawsuit if our two largest counties (by far) use different methods.


Regarding 2020: I have said since the beginning that it would have made more sense for Kobach to run for Senate in 2020, I think it would be much more fitting for him. Kobach is going to get dragged through the mud until November, so if he loses this year, I have a hard time seeing him running in 2020.

Steve Watkins won his primary mostly because of his father's money, plain and simple. A lot of people in KS GOP and party activists do not like him and his questionable record as a past Democrat, his big focus on 2020 will likely be fending off a strong primary challenge. I don't think he'd get very far in a statewide race, at least not now.

Marshall is probably the favorite to run and win in 2020.

Thanks for your previous answers,
Between Watkins and the dem candidate, who is going to win according to you?

[windjammer]

Tmthforu,

Hasn't Kobach changed the law making Orman dropping out impossible?

[windjammer]

Kansas Speaks (Fort Hays State) Docking Institute Poll: Kelly leads Kobach and Orman 40-36-10. Trump approval at 45-47 in the poll. 91% of poll respondents are familiar with Kobach, compared to only 62% for Kelly.

https://www.fhsu.edu/docking/Kansas-Speaks/kansas-speaks-report-fall-2018

Isn't Trump approval a bit low for KS?

[windjammer]

Tmthforu,
The democrats + the anti brownback republicans now have a majority in both chambers, correct?