If you had seen this 10 years ago, what would it reveal about the state of our politics? (user search)
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  If you had seen this 10 years ago, what would it reveal about the state of our politics? (search mode)
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Author Topic: If you had seen this 10 years ago, what would it reveal about the state of our politics?  (Read 2366 times)
Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169


« on: November 30, 2020, 10:28:07 PM »

I mean, it's not all that surprising.  It reveals that not much has changed, just incremental changes based on demographic trends. 

If you compare that to the 2000 map it's fairly similar, with Democrats expanding on the edges of the southwest and south and republicans winning back Iowa. 

If you compare it to the 2008 map it's also fairly similar, with Democrats holding their gains in Virginia, Colorado, Nevada and adding Georgia and Arizona to the mix while losing Ohio/Iowa plus North Carolina/Florida.

Florida would probably be the most surprising as you wouldn't expect Democrats to make those kinds of gains in Georgia and Arizona while losing Florida, which at the time was a real bellwether state. 
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169


« Reply #1 on: September 09, 2021, 09:43:51 PM »

Honestly a lot of people even back then were predicting Georgia and Arizona would flip eventually. 

The 2016 results were more of an unusual event IMO.

I feel like a map of 2032 that shows Dems winning Texas and losing MI/WI/MN would be totally unsurprising to some now. 

I think the fact that it was two super old white guys would be the most surprising part.
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