Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[Non Swing Voter]

Was gone for an hour, what is new

Youngkin won Nassau County, NY.

So he's officially YoungKing then?

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/bluevirginia/status/1455664469112197133

Could we actually hit 500,000 votes in Fairfax County?  That would be absurd for an off off year.

[Non Swing Voter]

If the 7pm official exit poll from CNN is the same one that its been since 5pm, I would not be surprised if it's Youngkin +10

The poll also says the electorate is: 53% thinks Dem is too liberal, 43% not liberal enough/about right , which is pretty close to the 53/44 and 44/53 split for favorables

Saw that.  Not seeing how turnout is jiving with that unless half of Fairfax suddenly became conservative republican.

[Non Swing Voter]

Lol the age CNN exit polls don’t make sense. The gap between how young and old people vote gonna be much larger than 15 points

Yeah these exit polls look weird.

[Non Swing Voter]

The exit polls aren't always great but I can't think of the last time they were so wildly off-base they didn't give a decent sense of which way the race was going to end up. I remember in 2016 they were the first time I really got a sinking feeling of "My god he's actually going to win this thing." It's happening again...

It just seems weird that everything is close to 50/50.  18-29 are voting similar to 65+?  That's odd.

[Non Swing Voter]

Didn't someone earlier say that mail ballots would get reported first so it may skew that way?

In some counties like Fairfax, yeah.  But they didn't report quickly like they promised...

[Non Swing Voter]

Chesterfield is already 1/3 in.  Keeps flipping back and forth.

[Non Swing Voter]

Portsmouth 98-2 Tmac with 380 votes....

LMAO, was just going to post that. 

[Non Swing Voter]

Fairfax lied to us... said they'd have a big dump early.  30 minutes after election: nothing.

[Non Swing Voter]

Do we know how much of this is Election Day versus early vote in some of these places?

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1455679989504950276

OK I'll admit, this is useful info from Wasserman.  There I said it.

[Non Swing Voter]

https://www.vpap.org/electionresults/20211102/statewide/

VPAP IS REPORTING WHERE THE VOTES ARE COMING FROM.

4% of early vote in.

18% of Election Day vote in.

[Non Swing Voter]

Kornaki just showed Loudoun and it's all Election day, not early/absentee. OFC who knows, this place has been chaos and confirming what type it is.

Someone said 40k of it was early vote though?

[Non Swing Voter]

Loudoun just jumped to 11 point T-Mac lead.  Early vote batch?