Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,169
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« on: May 20, 2020, 02:05:04 AM » |
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Well here's the thing... Republicans need to do A LOT better among minority voters, not just incrementally. Also I am not surprised by this. Why is this happening?
If African Americans are voting 90-10 for Democrats.
Asians are voting 70-30.
Hispanics are voting 65-35.
And if most of the minority growth is among hispanics and asians, then it will dilute the percent voting Democrat versus Republican even though Democrats are netting more votes in the equation.
The problem for Republicans is that every Presidential election the minority vote share ticks up 1 or 2%. So Democrats don't need to maintain the same margin among minority voters if they become a significantly greater share of the electorate. There's really no way to spin this as a good thing for Republicans. They have a unified coalition of whites without college degrees and evangelicals. Both groups are shrinking as a percentage of the electorate. Whereas every group that's increasing is diametrically opposed to the GOP coalition. Want to see America's future? Virginia is exhibit A.
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