Trump supporters, do you feel you're in a better or worse position to win than a year ago?

[Non Swing Voter]

There are 2 things that unquestionably have made Trump's chances worse:

1) Joe Biden is the nominee and not Bernie.

2) The economy is tanking and while that's not his fault, he can no longer run on it.  So he basically has nothing to run on.  So he's probably going to desperately blurt out stuff about Hunter Biden, China, and throw random bones to evangelicals with no clear overarching message for why he should be re-elected.

Also, a lot of people have noted that Incumbents tend to win re-election.  I think we're in a polarized time where that isn't as much of a factor.  Plus, Obama basically replicated his 2008 win but lost a little ground which cost him 2 of the closest states.  Trump starts with far less room for error.  If he deteriorates a few percentage points, which seems likely (and more), a large number of his states fall to Biden. 

The fact is, Trump more than any President in my lifetime has acted like he has a mandate and that he could thumb his nose to the rest of the country.  This was a mistake from the beginning, as he clearly didn't have a mandate.