California trending R? (user search)
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  California trending R? (search mode)
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Author Topic: California trending R?  (Read 5500 times)
Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,169


« on: January 30, 2020, 02:32:26 AM »

I've always thought California could trend insanely D even when Dems were winning it by big margins and even before Trump ran as a white grievance candidate. 

If you look at the fundamentals of the state it's basically the epitome of a Democratic trending state.  Lots of big cities + extremely educated suburbs.  Whites were already very liberal in the state.  Fast growing minority populations.  Lots of immigration.  Lots of colleges/young people.  I can't think of any demographic that has been growing in California that is Republican-friendly.  I guess it's getting wealthier, but they're not the kind of wealthy voters that find GOP policies appealing.  I think that Trump loses by 2% more no matter who the Democrat is on the ballot in 2020.  Though I do think Hillary was a particularly strong candidate for California (she seemed to do well with Hispanic and Asian voters in particular).
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