Is Virginia Gone to Republicans?

[Non Swing Voter]

As someone who lives in the NOVA area.  I'd say it's a purple state that is getting bluer every year.  The problem Republicans will have in Virginia going forward is that while the vote totals are close, the number of swing voters in the state is very small.  Right now, on the Presidential level, 48% of the state is going to vote Democrat, 46% is going to vote Republican, and the remaining 6% is up for grabs.  By 2020, those numbers will probably shift to 50% Democrat, 44% Republican.

I have to think that the people in this thread talking about how Virginia is a lean-right state, the democratic growth is overrated, and that it will trend back to center are somewhat delusional.

There is no denying that NOVA growth is accelerating and continues to outpace the rest of the state.  I also suspect the growth will accelerate even more, largely because DC itself can hardly fit any more people to sustain the growth it is experiencing and a lot of people are moving into Fairfax, Arlington, Alexandria.  Which I think is pushing a lot of Fairfax people to the outer burbs.  It's increasing the population of Fairfax, and it's making the outer burbs far more liberal. 

If Republicans couldn't win against a President who backed gay marriage in 2012, not sure why they think they will win in 2020.  The only argument I buy is that African American turnout will be lower.  The argument that Virginia voters are about average when compared to the national vote is not persuasive either.  The national vote is trending democrat as well.  Republicans have a problem, and it's not just in Virginia, but Virginia is a pretty strong example of their problem... it's diversifying, urbanizing, and becoming much better educated.  All factors that point to it becoming a blue state.