2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[ProudModerate2]

Can someone post a link to NE-02 results (without sign-up or paywalls).
Thank you.

[ProudModerate2]

Is there any information about Nebraska's 2nd District?

I'm trying to get someone to post a link to a good website that has results for this specific district.

[ProudModerate2]

1976 redux?

Actually I was thinking something similar. Definitely not the 413 landslide, RIP to that dream. But a win is a win.

Yeah. Back to the 290 map.

AZ will be a good win, just in case Biden loses WI or MI.
But if he just loses PA, then we have a tie (with NE-02 and ME-02 counted for trump).
Uggggg.

[ProudModerate2]

1976 redux?

Actually I was thinking something similar. Definitely not the 413 landslide, RIP to that dream. But a win is a win.

Yeah. Back to the 290 map.

AZ will be a good win, just in case Biden loses WI or MI.
But if he just loses PA, then we have a tie (with NE-02 and ME-02 counted for trump).
Uggggg.

Why would you count NE-02 for Trump?

He only won it by 2% last time, but the way things are going tonight, I threw it into trump's column as a worse case scenario.

[ProudModerate2]

https://twitter.com/JonathanTamari/status/1323831202919362560

Good God, is it really that big?

[ProudModerate2]

Can someone post a link to NE-02 results (without sign-up or paywalls).
Thank you.

https://results.decisiondeskhq.com/

That is not a direct link to NE-02 results.
It's the entire map. And if I click on Nebraska, it wants me to "sign-up" before continuing.
But thank you for trying.

[ProudModerate2]

AZ.
Do you guys think ...

... that one of the big reasons Biden is doing so well in AZ is because of trump's awful words/treatment  towards McCain?

[ProudModerate2]

So far Biden has improved significantly in Omaha. NE-02 looking encouraging,

If you are seeing NE-02 results, can you just type them in, in a post for me to see, please.
Tell me just the percentages for each candidate, and the total percentage counted so far for this district.

[ProudModerate2]

Guys.
Finally found the website to the official Nebraska State elections office for district results.
Here is the link to NE-02 results ...

https://electionresults.nebraska.gov/resultsSW.aspx?text=Race&type=PC&map=CTY

[ProudModerate2]

Guys.
Finally found the website to the official Nebraska State elections office for district results.
Here is the link to NE-02 results ...

https://electionresults.nebraska.gov/resultsSW.aspx?text=Race&type=PC&map=CTY

Oh wow.
Just noticed that Biden is also leading in NE-01 (and not just NE-02).
Really?

[ProudModerate2]

None of the Wisconsin early vote is in except Dane. We're seeing the election day vote right now

That's really good for Biden then.
Are you sure about this?

[ProudModerate2]

Nebraska-02, is currently plus Biden 8.4.

And, Biden is still leading in NE-01 also ...
https://electionresults.nebraska.gov/resultsSW.aspx?text=Race&type=PC&map=CTY

[ProudModerate2]

Wait am I reading this right - has Wisconsin not reported *any* mail/absentee ballots yet?

That's what others have said here also.
Seems to be true.

[ProudModerate2]

Can Biden even still win PA at this point?  How possible really is that right now?

Yes, more than 1.2 million ballots are left.
Those skew 75-24 Biden.
Trump's lead is 480.000 right now, but Biden will net more than 600.000 out of the remaining ballots.
Biden will finish ca. 100.000 ahead of Trump.

Can someone (else) verify this math and its approximate outcome (I will settle for just a 25K Biden lead vs 100K).
It would really lower my blood pressure if true.
Thank you.

[ProudModerate2]

Biden now up nearly 50K in Michigan, nearly 1%.
Peters only down 7k now.

where are you getting this? its not updated on nytimes

NYT does show an approximate 50K lead by Biden.

[ProudModerate2]

This is a "Presidential Election Results" thread.
There seems to be too much Senate discussion here.
Can people please post Senate discussion in its appropriate thread and not here.
Thank you.

[ProudModerate2]

I took an afternoon break, and I'm glad to see that MI and (especially) WI have been called for Biden.
PA, NV, AZ and possibly GA can still be added to Biden's column.
NC does not look good for Biden (NYT still has it grey).

[ProudModerate2]

NYT shows trump lead in PA down to only about 204,000 with 88% counted.

[ProudModerate2]

Trump's margin is down to 200,000.

PA is getting there.
Has anyone worked the numbers recently with the new data.
If we continue to see the same rate of closing-the-gap (assume), where will PA be?

[ProudModerate2]

Trump's margin is down to 200,000.

PA is getting there.
Has anyone worked the numbers recently with the new data.
If we continue to see the same rate of closing-the-gap (assume), where will PA be?

I did it a little while ago with some estimates that seemed reasonable to me and my math was that Biden wins the state by 125,000 votes when all votes are counted.

Wow. Really?
By that much?

[ProudModerate2]

A CNN Update about 8 minutes ago ...

There are more than 149,000 uncounted ballots in Georgia, state official says.
From CNN's Marshall Cohen

Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger said Wednesday afternoon that there are still 149,350 uncounted ballots in the state.

Some of the counties with outstanding votes told CNN that they will finish counting tonight, while others are expected to stretch into tomorrow.

According to Raffensperger’s office, Georgia has tallied about 36,000 votes in the last two hours.

The margin between Trump and Biden has now narrowed to 1% with the latest batch, with Trump clinging to a small lead.

“Officials in numerous counties are continuing to count ballots, with strong security protocols in place to protect the integrity of our election” Raffensperger said in news release. “We have long anticipated – and said publicly – that counting would most likely take place into Wednesday night and perhaps Thursday morning. We’re on pace to accomplish that responsibly, ensuring that the voice of every eligible voter is heard. It’s important to act quickly, but it’s more important to get it right.”

[ProudModerate2]

do we know exactly how many ballots are left in each Arizona county right now?  I guess I could extrapolate from the percentages above but would be easier if there was a site that already did this.

(also, I don't think this matters because it's pretty clear Biden is going to win Pennsylvania)

Non Swing Voter,
I want to thank you for giving us number-crunching on the outstanding votes to be counted, for the various states still uncalled.
It's very helpful and gives us an idea (estimate) on what may happen.

[ProudModerate2]

Taking another break.
Live on the west coast. Will return at about 11 pm or 12 am PST.
Hopefully we see more positive movement for Biden (especially in GA).

[ProudModerate2]

NYT times reporting the exact number of uncounted ballots in GA is 61,367. Trump lead is 18,590 going into this final Batch. Biden will need to win about 65% of this last batch to take the lead.

It looks like the vast majority of these are metro ATL (Fulton, Clayton and Dekalb) votes, with some Chatham mail-ins thrown in the mix.

I have a strong sense of how this is going to turn out but I'm going to refrain from making a projection. Let's just wait for the final GA SOS update!

CNN posted this (below) about 45 minutes ago.
Is there about 61K votes left to count, or 90K ? This could be important to who wins GA ...

Here's a look at when we'll get updates from local officials today:

    10:30 a.m. ET: Georgia's Secretary of State will hold a news conference. There's currently a 33,000-vote margin between Trump and Biden, and there’s around 90,000 votes remaining to be counted.

[ProudModerate2]

NYT times reporting the exact number of uncounted ballots in GA is 61,367. Trump lead is 18,590 going into this final Batch. Biden will need to win about 65% of this last batch to take the lead.

It looks like the vast majority of these are metro ATL (Fulton, Clayton and Dekalb) votes, with some Chatham mail-ins thrown in the mix.

I have a strong sense of how this is going to turn out but I'm going to refrain from making a projection. Let's just wait for the final GA SOS update!

CNN posted this (below) about 45 minutes ago.
Is there about 61K votes left to count, or 90K ? This could be important to who wins GA ...

Here's a look at when we'll get updates from local officials today:

    10:30 a.m. ET: Georgia's Secretary of State will hold a news conference. There's currently a 33,000-vote margin between Trump and Biden, and there’s around 90,000 votes remaining to be counted.

Well now Biden is down 18K compared to 33K, so 60K sounds about right.

Ah OK.
So their 90K number was an older figure.
Makes sense.
(I should have looked to see if the 33K-lead was still the current number. Now I see on NYT that it is about 19K, as you noted.)
Thank you.