Penn Quaker Girl assured me that mathematically we can assume that 10,000+ will die AT MINIMUM. She studies / works with epidemics so I respect her advice regarding COV-19.
Quoted for posterity.
Let's check back on that prediction in 2 months time in the USA, and see how the logic of your argument unfolds.
You have 9,907 deaths remaining.
This post aged like whole milk in the Florida sun.
Not only have we not even reached 1 month from the date of those posts (Mar 16th), we still have about 6 weeks to reach the "2 month" mark.
Where do you(we) believe the US death toll will be on May 16? It's not going to be a good number.
