Trump approval ratings thread 1.5

[ProudModerate2]

https://news.gallup.com/poll/248633/post-mueller-report-trump-approval-back-high.aspx


With that rate Trump will win reelection in landslide! 

What rate, exactly? A trend line that's basically 0?

Exactly.
A "poorly educated" trump supporter with no basic understanding of statistics.

[ProudModerate2]

https://twitter.com/ryanstruyk/status/1122111857777631232

trump at the bottom?
Shocked I tell you. Just shocked.

[ProudModerate2]

Fluctuations in daily trackers aren't worth getting too excited about, but it may be worth keeping an eye on Rasmussen for the next few days.  They've been in the 47%-53% approval range since the end of the shutdown, but Thursday it dropped to 45, stayed there Friday, and dropped again to 44 today.  I believe they use a 3-day rolling average, so it's possible they just got one really bad day for Trump, but it's worth watching the rest of this week.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/trump_approval_index_history

Wow.
Rasmussen has really turned on trump.
We had recent -11's and now today a -12 on his approval.
He is probably losing massive women support (from the little he did have) from all this abortion talk.

[ProudModerate2]

Wasn’t someone here extrapolating up from his bump to posit Trump at 50% on Election Day? LOL.

I found that "someone."
His previous comment is below.

Trump's approval has been on the rise, just as I predicted it would when the Democrat Party snatched control of the House from the Paul 'lyin' Ryan GOP ...

... Trump could very well be at 50% approval on election day ...

[ProudModerate2]

Trump's approval has been on the rise, just as I predicted it would when the Democrat Party snatched control of the House from the Paul 'lyin' Ryan GOP ...

... Trump could very well be at 50% approval on election day ...

But yet his approvals are dropping like a rock.
LOL.

[ProudModerate2]

CBS News, May 17-20, 1101 adults

Approve 41
Disapprove 52

Very similar to the Monmouth results.

The change from their last poll from January:

Approve 41 (+5)
Disapprove 52 (-7)

It's a swing of 12!
Trumpomentum!  

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1131152788770181121

Who is that fit man, with a normal waistline suppose to be?

[ProudModerate2]

I would be spinning with jubilance for 4 years, if Biden (or any Dem) took Texas in 2020.

[ProudModerate2]

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1136327105506095105

Is it just me, or is trump only "behind" Biden in those numbers?

[ProudModerate2]

Seventeen states and one Congressional district were decided by 10% or less in 2016 ...

You have 17 states colored-in on your map, but two (not one) Congressional Districts.
Is it one or two Congressional Districts?

[ProudModerate2]

Approve 43%
Disapprove 55%
---Net result: Disapprove +12

Gallup
Jun 3-16, 2019
1,015 Adults
https://news.gallup.com/poll/258359/trump-job-approval-early-june.aspx

[ProudModerate2]

Approve 40%
Disapprove 59%
---Net result: Disapprove +19

Pew Research Center
Apr 29-May 13, 2019
10,170 Adults
(Info from 538 website)

[ProudModerate2]

AP/NORC, June 13-19, 1116 adults

Approve 38
Disapprove 60

Was 38/61 last month.

Wow. Big spread there.
Here is the direct link to this poll: http://apnorc.org/PDFs/AP-NORC%20Omnibus%20June%202019/June%202019%20Topline_election_russia.pdf

538 does not grade NORC as a pollster.
How reliable are they? Does anyone have knowledge of them and their polling?

[ProudModerate2]

Quinnipiac, July 25-28, 1306 RV (change from early June)

Approve 40 (-2)
Disapprove 54 (+1)

Strongly approve 28 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 47 (+1)

2020 (change from May):

Definitely vote for Trump 32 (+1)
Consider voting for Trump 12 (nc)
Definitely not vote for Trump 54 (nc)

Given how much insanity he's shown in the past few days, this is still a shockingly high number even though a bad sign for anyone with reelection hopes. But I guess some of his supporters are just irredeemable. They would still support him even if he openly said "yes, I am a racist".

True, but these numbers are horrible for trump.
The net disapproval in this poll is +14, which is very large.
And Quinnipiac University is rated A- by 538.
Also, the period of time that this poll was taken (July 25-28) could be that people were still absorbing all the recent racist Tweets from the POTUS, so different polls released in the next two-weeks could show further slip of support.

[ProudModerate2]

IBD/TIPP (monthly), July 25-Aug. 1, 902 adults

Approve 40 (-3)
Disapprove 56 (+7)

This is Trump's worst showing in this poll since February.

Wow. Huge swing.
And 538 rates this polling company with an A- grade.

[ProudModerate2]

LOL Zogby

Has trump commented about it yet?
Maybe today he will.
(What a joke.)

[ProudModerate2]

Ipsos
JUL 16-22, 2019
3,879 RV

Approve 44%
Disapprove 54%

https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/12/4809/4766/Topline%20Reuters%20Race%20Poll.pdf

Odd that the poll was conducted back in mid-July, and they are just now releasing the results.
Does anyone know why?

[ProudModerate2]

Ipsos
JUL 16-22, 2019
3,879 RV

Approve 44%
Disapprove 54%

https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/12/4809/4766/Topline%20Reuters%20Race%20Poll.pdf

Odd that the poll was conducted back in mid-July, and they are just now releasing the results.
Does anyone know why?

Looks like it was for this story about voters' racial attitudes that was just released today: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-race-poll/for-trump-appeals-to-white-fears-about-race-may-be-a-tougher-sell-in-2020-reuters-ipsos-poll-idUSKCN1V90TX.  The approval question is secondary.

Ahhh, Ok. That makes sense.
Thank you for the info.

[ProudModerate2]

Can someone share some light into why (over the last month of so) Rasmussen has suddenly "turned" on trump approval numbers, and is more in-line with the other pollsters?
What changed with them? I mean the difference is big.

[ProudModerate2]

Gallup, Aug. 15-30, 1500 adults (prior poll Aug. 1-14)

Approve 39 (-2)
Disapprove 57 (+3)

This is the worst Gallup result for Trump since their early March poll, which had the same numbers.

Wow.
Looks about right, too.

[ProudModerate2]

... We now have recent ABC/Wapo, CNN, and Gallup polls all with Trump under 40.

Hopefully it stays there, for the next 16 months.

[ProudModerate2]

Washington Post/Kaiser Family Foundation

63% Disapprove
37% Approve

JUL 9-AUG 5, 2019
2,293 adults
https://www.washingtonpost.com/context/washington-post-kaiser-family-foundation-climate-change-survey-july-9-aug-5-2019/601ed8ff-a7c6-4839-b57e-3f5eaa8ed09f/