Rate WI in Trump vs Warren

[Coolface Sock #42069]

Toss-up. I'm not sure I buy any of the following about Warren:

1. that she will keep her message focused on left-wing economics (it will be hard not to get dragged into debates about social issues, a losing battle in a state with Wisconsin's demographics even if she gets to 270)
2. that the rural Wisconsin voters who went Obama-Trump will come back and vote for her even if she does (I truly believe they voted Trump to reject Democrats, not specifically Hillary)
3. that the wealthy suburbs surrounding Milwaukee will be as competitive with someone so far left running on raising their taxes (I think a lot of the voters who went Mitt-Hillary rejected Trump specifically since they also voted GOP for Congress in large numbers).

So while I think she definitely has a good chance, I'm skeptical she can get the old union machine and all its voters behind her, and I struggle to see where she improves anywhere else given that she'd probably lose ground in the suburbs. Can she get more turnout in Dane County? Maybe Milwaukee County? Perhaps the former, but I think there are many other candidates better suited to the latter.