TX-SEN 2024 megathread: The Hunt for the Zodiac Killer (user search)
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  TX-SEN 2024 megathread: The Hunt for the Zodiac Killer (search mode)
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Author Topic: TX-SEN 2024 megathread: The Hunt for the Zodiac Killer  (Read 26541 times)
politicallefty
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,329
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -9.22

P P
« on: April 29, 2023, 01:13:27 PM »



I hope it’s what I think it is, but I also wouldn’t be surprised if he’s just rebranding for re-election to the House

Honestly, while I certainly won’t complain if Allred is the nominee, I don’t think he’s the right guy for this race.  I think we’re better off running Roland Gutierrez.  While both would obviously be underdogs (to say the least), I think he would have a better chance of pulling off the upset than Allred.

One of the biggest issues is money. We need a candidate that can easily break into nine-figures when all is said and done. That's basically the bare minimum to take out Cruz in a hideously expensive state. (Beto raised $80m in his campaign for Senate.) Of course, one thing to note is that the Texas Senate is one of only two legislative bodies in the country that have larger districts than their respective Congressional districts (the other being the California Senate). So, Gutierrez actually represents more people than Allred. I don't pretend to know who the best candidate is, but we really need to put this seat into play.
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politicallefty
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,329
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -9.22

P P
« Reply #1 on: April 29, 2023, 02:45:46 PM »



I hope it’s what I think it is, but I also wouldn’t be surprised if he’s just rebranding for re-election to the House

Honestly, while I certainly won’t complain if Allred is the nominee, I don’t think he’s the right guy for this race.  I think we’re better off running Roland Gutierrez.  While both would obviously be underdogs (to say the least), I think he would have a better chance of pulling off the upset than Allred.

One of the biggest issues is money. We need a candidate that can easily break into nine-figures when all is said and done. That's basically the bare minimum to take out Cruz in a hideously expensive state. (Beto raised $80m in his campaign for Senate.) Of course, one thing to note is that the Texas Senate is one of only two legislative bodies in the country that have larger districts than their respective Congressional districts (the other being the California Senate). So, Gutierrez actually represents more people than Allred. I don't pretend to know who the best candidate is, but we really need to put this seat into play.

Unless the Democratic nominee ends up being a murderer or pedophile, I don't think they would have much trouble fundraising. No matter what, small dollar donors from around the country will be motivated to beat Ted Cruz. Look at how much Marcus Flowers or Amy McGrath raised in completely hopeless races.

Good point, though it is worth remembering that Beto was an exciting candidate in 2018. I try to put unwinnable races, like trying to beat McConnell or MTG, out of my mind because I just can't believe people are so willing to burn money like that. At least Ted Cruz is reviled and (potentially) beatable.
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