2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[JerryArkansas]

It's possible GA has *counted* votes but not *reported* them, since the 25K figure is way off from the 60K+ figure they said last night.

https://twitter.com/tbonier/status/1324325307004915712

https://twitter.com/ArmandoNDK/status/1324326523151781888

The same thing in PA.  Just because a ballot has been processes doesn't automatically mean that it is posted.  I haven't see a Fulton update all night.

[JerryArkansas]

Will we know today?

Secretary of State says we will by noon.  Take of that what you will.

[JerryArkansas]

GA even after the results today are going to be a nightmare for a while.  They still have provisionals all over the state, military ballots, along with cured ballots which haven't been counted yet.  So no one count chickens, Especially if Biden pulls into a lead. 

[JerryArkansas]

So Dave Wasserman is saying he doesn’t believe there are only 120k uncounted ballots in Philadelphia. That would be a decrease in turnout there

Isn’t Philly a city that is shrinking in population ?

If the population of a city is shrinking (especially because of American citizens moving out), raw turnout could decrease, while other parts of the country see an increase.

Also, ballots are being received in PA today and tomorrow.

There could be slightly more than 120.000 left then.

No it's slightly growing, and if Wayne, a county with a decreasing population can have more votes than 2016 Philly can too.  The only thing I can think that could explain it is if the post office kept the votes, which would be a sh**tshow none of us want.

[JerryArkansas]

Nate Cohn just said some of the election day in Philly is out, along with them being known for having high numbers of provisionals.  That might explain the 140k

[JerryArkansas]

I don’t understand how anyone can have any doubt about Biden winning PA.  Every single VBM update we get is consistent with a comfortable Biden victory.  Just because we haven’t had a major update in the middle of the night doesn’t magically mean that Trump has somehow gained ground.

Everyone is so snakebitten at this point they don't wanna risk it. 

Bucks Co. just flipped. Now I want Lehigh and Monroe to flip. Great to see Biden turning the eastern counties of PA all blue.

Bucks still has more to go too.  I think I read they had 20k left and the update that posted was only around 11k

[JerryArkansas]

Looking at the exit polls (yes, i know they tend to be flawed but whatever), 48% of voters said that the fight against COVID is going well, while a similar percentage said the economy was good or excellent.


Shows what a sick society we have and the tight grip the conservative propaganda machine has on people.

No, this shows how terrible the MSM and the people who live in their bubble are.  If it's not salacious innuendo, panic porn or fake scandal they don't care about/report it; it's no surprise many Americans don't listen.  "Real life" wins out over hyper-produced news flashes and concern pundits at the end of the day.   

Wow I forgot how far down the rabbit hole you went.

[JerryArkansas]

So what do we actually think the Trump campaign announces in half an hour? It can't just be "stealing the election", they've already declared victory and it hasn't stopped any of the counts. I doubt it's a concession either.

They already said.  Its a lawsuit saying that 10k people voted in Nevada who dont' live in the state/moved out.