NY, WI-Optimus Consulting: Trump leads in both states but WI is near 3-way tie (user search)
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  NY, WI-Optimus Consulting: Trump leads in both states but WI is near 3-way tie (search mode)
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Author Topic: NY, WI-Optimus Consulting: Trump leads in both states but WI is near 3-way tie  (Read 3925 times)
Seriously?
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Posts: 3,029
United States


« on: March 28, 2016, 11:26:59 AM »

Optimus Consulting did “automated” polls (I assume that means robo-polls?) of New York and Wisconsin.  The only info I can find on them is in Politico:

http://www.politico.com/tipsheets/morning-score/2016/03/delegate-chase-tight-race-in-wisconsin-trump-running-up-the-score-in-new-york-dem-oppo-picks-up-2014-republicans-tactics-king-predicts-very-nasty-race-in-ia-04-213432

Wisconsin

Trump 29%
Kasich 27%
Cruz 25%

New York

Trump 47%
Kasich 22%
Cruz 15%

Trump leads in all but one New York CD.  In Wisconsin, Trump leads 3 CDs, Cruz leads in 2, Kasich in 1, and the other two are tossups.


The magic number in NY is 50%.

Over 50% is winner take all for the statewide delegates. Otherwise it's proportional, subject to a 20% floor.

For the CD delegates, you have to get to 50% to take all 3. Otherwise, it's 2/1.
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Seriously?
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,029
United States


« Reply #1 on: March 29, 2016, 08:13:09 AM »

I wonder which congressional district he doesn't lead. Maybe NY-20 is sufficiently establishment?
Some of those NYC districts are so Democrat that the one or two Republilcans in it have one heck of a say.

With that said, Trump should do well there because of name/brand recognition alone in NY.
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