2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 651191 times)
Hnv1
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« Reply #25 on: November 06, 2020, 11:35:00 AM »
call Nevada
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Hnv1
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« Reply #26 on: November 06, 2020, 01:30:47 PM »
Pittsburgh votes anytime today?
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Hnv1
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« Reply #27 on: November 06, 2020, 02:56:58 PM »
The last AZ dump was heavy Trump.


So just to be clear, there are 100k provisional votes in PA with 40k coming from Philly + mail ballots in Pittsburgh that hadn't been counted (around 40k as well). should be safe D right?
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Hnv1
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« Reply #28 on: November 06, 2020, 03:01:06 PM »
Quote from: pppolitics on November 06, 2020, 02:59:36 PM
Quote from: Hnv1 on November 06, 2020, 02:56:58 PM
The last AZ dump was heavy Trump.

The one from this morning?

No, it wasn't.
right now around 5K votes, the margin is now 40954 statewide
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Hnv1
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« Reply #29 on: November 07, 2020, 03:24:01 AM »
GA is now 8K...don't see how Trump wipes that out
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Hnv1
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« Reply #30 on: November 07, 2020, 03:29:52 AM »
can't believe I woke up and AP hadn't called PA or NV yet
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Hnv1
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« Reply #31 on: November 07, 2020, 06:09:30 AM »
any big vote dumps we should expect in the next 12 hours?
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Hnv1
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« Reply #32 on: November 07, 2020, 08:46:41 AM »
Quote from: American2020 on November 07, 2020, 08:34:30 AM

This is really inconsidered of us European posters. count at night you lazy bunch
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Hnv1
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« Reply #33 on: November 07, 2020, 03:18:52 PM »
Bibi is keeping quite for now. interesting.
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Hnv1
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« Reply #34 on: November 08, 2020, 04:50:35 AM »
Bibi congratulated Biden at 7AM Israel time, when Trump was asleep and Biden not awake. chicken sh**t. the rest of the right followed by thanking Trump for 4 'amazing years' and saying that they'll work with any president as the support for Israel comes from all parts of American society and how Biden was a friend since 1972.

I do hope Biden gives him hell for a bit and Trump punishes him for his lack of total obedience
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Hnv1
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« Reply #35 on: November 10, 2020, 09:02:57 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on November 10, 2020, 07:50:30 AM
It appears PA has given up on doing any votes... Philly/Allegheny still have a nice chunk out (and the state has at least 55K+ out)
I think they’re waiting for the court decision about those votes?
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Hnv1
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« Reply #36 on: November 12, 2020, 12:32:16 PM »
Likelihood of workers in very red and remote districts suddenly “finding” votes for Trump?
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Hnv1
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« Reply #37 on: November 20, 2020, 05:16:09 AM »
What up in Duchess Co.? is Trump really winning or they failed to count absentees and mail ins?
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Hnv1
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« Reply #38 on: November 24, 2020, 10:16:46 AM »
I think he means increasing in strength in NE over battleground states.

So MA is now the second-best Biden state, any last votes in MD that might change it back?

Correction: Maryland is still the second-best by a tiny margin.
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Hnv1
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« Reply #39 on: November 25, 2020, 02:44:50 AM »
Quote from: n1240 on November 24, 2020, 10:17:02 PM
NY update:

Absentee count:

Biden 465473 (72.7%)
Trump 161344 (25.2%)
Total 640419

Margin of 47.5%, average weighted final eday margin of Trump +5.0%, so average swing of 52.5%.

Statewide total:

Biden 4164105 (57.1%)
Trump 3012114 (41.3%)
Total 7296726
any counties flipped? the current map still has Clinton and Dutchess red

last time Trump narrowly won upstate NY PV. I wonder if Biden flipped it back
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Hnv1
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« Reply #40 on: December 01, 2020, 02:08:47 PM »
Are there any states besides NY that hadn't finished counting?
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Hnv1
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« Reply #41 on: December 02, 2020, 03:19:40 AM »
A la Wasserman Ontario Co NY also flipped
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Hnv1
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« Reply #42 on: December 02, 2020, 04:15:28 AM »
Quote from: Badger on December 02, 2020, 03:45:18 AM
Quote from: Hnv1 on December 02, 2020, 03:19:40 AM
A la Wasserman Ontario Co NY also flipped

So hopefully someone beer can help sort out my Sirius election nerd Juju.

Does anyone know if the numbers on Dave's map for New York are finals? Specifically, do we know if Warren County has certified its results? I'm usually not into map Aesthetics, but if Biden could pick up just 60 votes and flip the county it would look so nice to have that almost unbroken string, - Putnam County, from the Adirondacks to the city.

Does it appear by won the state outside of New York City? How about north of the city excluding Trump's majority on Long Island?
Trump narrowly won upstate NY in 2016 iirc so adding the Biden swing means he's probably won 56-8% of the upstate vote
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Hnv1
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« Reply #43 on: December 03, 2020, 03:15:29 PM »
Quote from: n1240 on December 03, 2020, 02:25:50 PM
Quote from: Mike88 on December 03, 2020, 12:25:02 PM
Quote from: n1240 on December 03, 2020, 08:49:28 AM
An article with near complete count of Suffolk. With the amount of ballots remaining and partisan distribution it looks like Trump will hold on to a narrow win in the county, by about .3% (current lead ~8000 with 13558 to count, 6053 from Dems, 3375 from Reps, 3266 unaffiliated).
Cannot read the article due to the regulation protection thing, but it seems that Trump will win the county by just 3,000 votes or so, right?

From Westchester, is there any update?

NY State has now posted "certified" results (Westchester and Suffolk possibly not complete).

Total absentee vote in Westchester:

Biden 91408 (82.8%)
Trump 18700 (16.9%)

Suffolk:

Biden 108537 (71.6%)
Trump 42204 (27.8%)

Statewide total

Biden 5230985 (60.8%)
Trump 3244798 (37.8%)
Total 8594826

So NY finished with 0.51% swing D? Do we have the final map?
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Hnv1
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« Reply #44 on: December 04, 2020, 06:05:12 AM »
So...class action by this board against the state of NY for hedonic damages?
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Hnv1
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« Reply #45 on: December 05, 2020, 03:19:56 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on December 05, 2020, 01:37:53 AM
This is amazing:


Remarkable, but a ceiling, inevitable R swing in 2024. He even did well in conservative parts of the state
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