EV Allocation Projection - 2030 (user search)
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12th Doctor
supersoulty
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Posts: 20,584
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« on: November 24, 2004, 02:50:45 PM »

I see less growth in California (maybe even loss).  Growth in NC and GA.  And Minnesota growing too.
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12th Doctor
supersoulty
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,584
Ukraine


« Reply #1 on: November 24, 2004, 03:10:57 PM »

I see less growth in California (maybe even loss).  Growth in NC and GA.  And Minnesota growing too.
Last time I checked, California was still growing significantly, North Carolina and Georgia a bit, and Minnesota stable to slight loss. What do you base this on?

As I have said before, population projections are not accurate indicators, esspecially in today's ever mobile world.  I look at several factors as determinants.

Currently, Minnesota is the most economically dynamic state in the country.  I think that we will see significant growth around the Tiwn Cities.  By 2030, I think Minnesota will have 12 EV's.

North Carolina and Georgia are currently benifiting from the movement of large corperations into the south.  Atlanta will grow considerably in the next 25 years, as it is a natural place for businesses to situate.  Look at all the transportation.  North Carolina is also gaining quite a bit.  The Golden Triangle, Winston-Salem and Charlotte will all get larger as the businesses move down there.

I predict Georgia at 18-19 EV's by 2030.

North Carolina with 17-18 EV's.

South Carolina at 10.

California has nearly nearly surpassed it's capacity to expand.  Soon, urban sprawl and environemental concerns will turn away businesses and people.  It will grow, but not at a rate that catches up with the rest of the country.

People will seek areas that are more dynamic and where there is more opportunity to expand a business and personal fortunes and where they can provide safer, more enjoyable lives for their families.  Thus, smaller cities will expand more and the south and some parts of the Midwest, mainly Minnesota will benefit.
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