Webb ties Allen according to MSNBC/Mason-Dixon (it is a real poll)

[Democratic Hawk]

These are impressive results, considering that the poll demographic leans moderate-to-conservative, and that there are more Republicans and Republican-leaning independents than there are Democrats and Democrat-leaning independents. 

I don't think I am going so far out on a limb when I predict that the results on election day between Webb and Allen will be so close that there will be numerous recounts stretching well into late November, but eventually giving Allen a squeaker of a victory once it is all said and done. 

You never know, Webb just might pull off a squeaker of a victory

Dave

[Democratic Hawk]

But you being optimistic with this poll Steele might pull it off as well and it might cancel this seat out. So, you must take all the polls into account not just the ones that show Dems pulling through.

I'm an eternal optimist. Most polls have shown Cardin ahead of Steele, which is why I'm not putting MD into play. In fact, I need to see two or three polls with a consistent Steele lead of no less than 3%. But when I see a reputable poll that has a Democrat running level or slightly ahead in a GOP seat like TN or VA, I'm encouraged

I'm sure Republicans are equally encouraged when they see Steele leading in MD and they must be feeling very positive about NJ since  Kean seems to have a consistent lead over Menendez. So as of now, NJ is the only Democratic seat I have in play. As of now, VA remains lean Republican, while TN is more of a toss-up

Dave