I think Indiana will become more of a tossup...
but that's just me and my optimism
doubtful. it's probably the most static state in terms of politics, has been Republican since it's inception and always has been since.
Illinois is trending TOWARD the Democrats so I don't see how you could put it as a tossup.
I agree with you that Illinois is trending Democrat
As for Indiana being consistently GOP since inception I beg to differ (though it is, overwhelmingly, a Republican state). Since 1892, it's voted Democrat on five occasions:
1892 - Cleveland
1912 - Wilson
1932 - FDR
1936 - FDR
1964 - LBJ
Several races have been pretty close
However, I don't see Indiana shifting Democrat in years to come (it's a pretty conservative state); however, there is a good chance that Evan Bayh - a native son and Democrat - would win the state if he won the Democratic nomination
Dave