I wonder where Gillum's approval would be standing right now if he was elected? The Republican legislature would definitely obstruct him bigly.
Probably in the toilet.
Gillum's not likable. He's the kind of guy that needs to marshal the supporters and hope it's enough, with a little bit of resentment toward the opposition.
That almost worked in 2018, but Gillum lost ground in Miami-Dade with Cubans, some of whom saw him as a Socialist and thought of Castro. That, and DeSantis is generally likable.
DeSantis is a VERY ACTIVE Governor, and he's doing the things that FL's seniors and retirees like. I have trouble imagining DeSantis not being reelected by a healthy margin.