FL-GOV 2022: Gillum probably seeking rematch
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  FL-GOV 2022: Gillum probably seeking rematch
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Author Topic: FL-GOV 2022: Gillum probably seeking rematch  (Read 10399 times)
RogueBeaver
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« on: June 17, 2019, 09:41:06 AM »

He said so at a recent DNC event.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #1 on: June 17, 2019, 10:15:55 AM »

This has been painfully obvious to involved Florida Dems (such as myself) since November 7th
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Some of My Best Friends Are Gay
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« Reply #2 on: June 17, 2019, 11:27:59 AM »

Bold prediction: he loses to DeSantis by 6 votes after 12 recounts and 3 audits.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #3 on: June 17, 2019, 01:11:21 PM »

Lol, good luck with this buddy. He probably won't even win the nomination and if so, lose to DeSantis regardless of who the sitting president is.

Stacey Abrams has a much better chance to win a rematch from 2018 and knock off Cheatin' Brian.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #4 on: June 17, 2019, 01:29:23 PM »

Lol, good luck with this buddy. He probably won't even win the nomination and if so, lose to DeSantis regardless of who the sitting president is.

Stacey Abrams has a much better chance to win a rematch from 2018 and knock off Cheatin' Brian.

Nah, as somebody on the ground, I'm very confident in telling you that he'll definitely win the nomination; the base is much more pro-Gillum at this point than it was last August & it also looks like Graham will be going after Rubio this time around instead of running for Governor again. I'm also just as confident that DeSantis will beat him again, & much more easily the 2nd time around too.
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junior chįmp
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« Reply #5 on: June 17, 2019, 02:41:21 PM »

He will definitely win 2nd place
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #6 on: June 17, 2019, 02:59:07 PM »

Given that fact that he just paid a massive ethics fine and is under federal investigation (not to mention that DeSantis is now one of the most popular governor's in the country) this seems like a stupid idea
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« Reply #7 on: June 17, 2019, 03:04:11 PM »

Prediction: DeSantis wins by 6

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Atlas Has Shrugged
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« Reply #8 on: June 17, 2019, 11:51:56 PM »

This is a god-send.
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Atlas Has Shrugged
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« Reply #9 on: June 17, 2019, 11:57:19 PM »

Lol, good luck with this buddy. He probably won't even win the nomination and if so, lose to DeSantis regardless of who the sitting president is.

Stacey Abrams has a much better chance to win a rematch from 2018 and knock off Cheatin' Brian.

Nah, as somebody on the ground, I'm very confident in telling you that he'll definitely win the nomination; the base is much more pro-Gillum at this point than it was last August & it also looks like Graham will be going after Rubio this time around instead of running for Governor again. I'm also just as confident that DeSantis will beat him again, & much more easily the 2nd time around too.
Graham is going to run again? I assumed she was done. I’m in that weird post election dry spell (2013, 2015, 2017, and now 2019) where I’m fairly uninvolved with political activities and not in regular contact with my friends in the know. I never considered another Graham bid for statewide office.

Gillum has been eyeing it certainly, but I assumed it was more out of interest of personal enrichment rather than political ambition.

In news completely unrelated to the topic at hand/speaking of politically stagnate elected officials, Allen West is considering running for office in TX.
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Skye
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« Reply #10 on: June 18, 2019, 08:17:03 AM »

DeSantis will probably win by a landslide if his approvals stay high, and by landslide I mean Rubio 2016 numbers.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #11 on: June 18, 2019, 08:23:42 AM »

Dem prez: DeSantis +9
Trump reelected: DeSantis +4

Dems might be locked out from FL Gov Mansion up until 2030 or beyond, because 2026 is most likely a Dem midterm regardless of how 2020 goes. TX-Gov could flip earlier. GA certainly will.
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Rookie Yinzer
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« Reply #12 on: June 18, 2019, 02:45:14 PM »

Abrams has much more favorable demographics here in GA than Gillum does as well as a more polarizing incumbent to rematch with but if he wins the nomination I’ll be all in for him.
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Continential
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« Reply #13 on: June 18, 2019, 06:45:25 PM »

Abrams has much more favorable demographics here in GA than Gillum does as well as a more polarizing incumbent to rematch with but if he wins the nomination I’ll be all in for him.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #14 on: June 18, 2019, 06:49:23 PM »

Lol, good luck with this buddy. He probably won't even win the nomination and if so, lose to DeSantis regardless of who the sitting president is.

Stacey Abrams has a much better chance to win a rematch from 2018 and knock off Cheatin' Brian.

Nah, as somebody on the ground, I'm very confident in telling you that he'll definitely win the nomination; the base is much more pro-Gillum at this point than it was last August & it also looks like Graham will be going after Rubio this time around instead of running for Governor again. I'm also just as confident that DeSantis will beat him again, & much more easily the 2nd time around too.
Graham is going to run again? I assumed she was done. I’m in that weird post election dry spell (2013, 2015, 2017, and now 2019) where I’m fairly uninvolved with political activities and not in regular contact with my friends in the know. I never considered another Graham bid for statewide office.

Yeah, at least according to some in-the-know Dem friends of mine, though I'm sure anything can change considering campaign announcements aren't until 2 yrs. (give or take a few months) from now.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #15 on: June 18, 2019, 06:49:44 PM »

I mean, it's not outside possibilities that DeSantis could become unpopular in 2-3 years time and if Trump is re-elected with a Dem wave Gillum could win. But right now, DeSantis would hand him a spanking.
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« Reply #16 on: June 18, 2019, 10:04:40 PM »

Titanium DeSantis-by-1%->Titanium DeSantis-by-1%
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Lechasseur
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« Reply #17 on: June 19, 2019, 04:09:50 AM »

DeSantis will probably win by a landslide if his approvals stay high, and by landslide I mean Rubio 2016 numbers.

Yeah agreed, I don't think DeSantis will lose reelection, and if he's running against Gillum he'll win quite convincingly.

Frankly I have no idea why Gillum thinks running again is a good idea.
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Rookie Yinzer
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« Reply #18 on: June 19, 2019, 08:34:57 AM »

DeSantis will probably win by a landslide if his approvals stay high, and by landslide I mean Rubio 2016 numbers.

Yeah agreed, I don't think DeSantis will lose reelection, and if he's running against Gillum he'll win quite convincingly.

Frankly I have no idea why Gillum thinks running again is a good idea.
He’s hoping to transform the electorate. He started an organization committed to registering 1 million new voters.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #19 on: June 19, 2019, 11:10:13 AM »

Dems best bet is to get Rashurn Baker to run for MD Gov, only black that will win statewide governorship, aside from Deval Patrick
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Gracile
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« Reply #20 on: June 19, 2019, 11:19:17 AM »

Dem prez: DeSantis +9
Trump reelected: DeSantis +4

Dems might be locked out from FL Gov Mansion up until 2030 or beyond, because 2026 is most likely a Dem midterm regardless of how 2020 goes. TX-Gov could flip earlier. GA certainly will.

I feel like it's virtually impossible for DeSantis to win by more than 2-3%, regardless of the environment, because of Florida's polarized electorate.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #21 on: June 19, 2019, 11:33:25 AM »

Dem prez: DeSantis +9
Trump reelected: DeSantis +4

Dems might be locked out from FL Gov Mansion up until 2030 or beyond, because 2026 is most likely a Dem midterm regardless of how 2020 goes. TX-Gov could flip earlier. GA certainly will.

I feel like it's virtually impossible for DeSantis to win by more than 2-3%, regardless of the environment, because of Florida's polarized electorate.

Rubio won by 8% in 2016 and Nelson won by 13% in 2012. Bigger victories can happen, and Gillum would almost certainly lose by at least 5, especially given DeSantis' popularity.
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #22 on: June 19, 2019, 07:44:41 PM »

DeSantis will probably win by a landslide if his approvals stay high, and by landslide I mean Rubio 2016 numbers.

Yeah agreed, I don't think DeSantis will lose reelection, and if he's running against Gillum he'll win quite convincingly.

Frankly I have no idea why Gillum thinks running again is a good idea.
He’s hoping to transform the electorate. He started an organization committed to registering 1 million new voters.
lol, that is a scam pac that allows him to continue to raise and hoard money for future races
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #23 on: June 19, 2019, 08:02:20 PM »

Probable map in 2022

Biden can still win OH and FL in 2020

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President Johnson
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« Reply #24 on: June 20, 2019, 03:28:31 PM »

2022 is a long road, but if DeSantis maintains his current 58-24% approval, I don't see him losing at all. He could win by ten points if his numbers stay that way. If Gillum is happy, a Democratic president appoints him to second-rate cabinet position.
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