In private, Trump refuses to believe GOP will lose House majority during midterm

[Fuzzy Bear]

The GOP will likely lose seats, but it's far from unreasonable to believe that they will keep the House.

A lot of Republicans will have tougher races than usual, and there have been some redistrictings (FL and PA) that are favorable to Democrats, but that still doesn't guarantee a Democratic House.  It may happen, of course, but it's no more than 50-50 at this point.

Trump's hardly crazy in talking up GOP chances in the GE.  It's a positive trait of leadership to believe in victory and convey that belief to others, even when the chips are down.  Churchill was an underdog at Dunkirk.  He's doing what he ought to do as leader of his party.  Being overtly pessimistic is a sure fire ticket to defeat for the GOP.

[Fuzzy Bear]

I don’t see a problem with optimism.

Optimism is fine.

The problem here is Trump is delusional. Even the most optimistic Republican operative has entertain the thought that the midterms could be bad. Trump is not even doing that.

The midterms could be "bad", but I doubt that the GOP will lose the Senate, and I really doubt they'll lose the House (although they'll lose seats; that's for sure).

I do believe that the Democrats will elect new Governors in a slew of states and take back a few state legislative houses, holding PA, MN, and CT, and POSSIBLY retaking FL, IA, IL, and GA. 

In the end, I predict this will be an election with something for everyone.