Poll Results of Early Voters thread

[dspNY]

From latest Quinnipiac poll: https://poll.qu.edu/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2397

"Clinton leads by margins of 6 to 34 percentage points among likely voters who already have cast ballots in Georgia, Iowa and North Carolina, which allow early voting...

Clinton leads 48 - 42 percent among Georgia early voters...

Clinton leads 61 - 27 percent among Iowa likely voters who have cast ballots...

North Carolina likely voters who cast early ballots go 62 - 34 percent for Clinton."

That's the third NC estimate that is HEAVILY Clinton, more heavily than anything Obama pulled in the early vote in his two campaigns

[dspNY]

Additionally, to get these types of splits, independents must be breaking very hard for Clinton because these are far ahead of the D/R splits in all three states

[dspNY]

"Clinton enjoys solid lead in early voting: Reuters/Ipsos poll"

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-poll-idUSKCN12T0J6

"With 11 days to go before the U.S. presidential election, Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump by 15 percentage points among early voters surveyed in the past two weeks, according to the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project."

"Clinton’s lead among early voters is similar to the lead enjoyed by President Barack Obama over Republican Mitt Romney at this point of the 2012 race"

"In Ohio, Clinton led Trump by double digits among early voters. The project’s broader polling suggests the state is deadlocked between the two candidates."

"In Arizona, Clinton also was solidly ahead among early voters. In the past month, Arizona has gradually moved from a solid Trump state to a marginal Clinton state, although it is still too close to call, according to the project results."

"Even in Texas, where Trump enjoys a sizable lead, Clinton has a double-digit edge among early voters, according to project results."

The national early vote margin according to party ID is 7.5% yet Clinton leads by 15. This is yet another piece of evidence that the current trends still exist:

1. Independents are breaking to Clinton
2. More Republicans are defecting to Clinton than Democrats defecting to Trump