Actually, there have been a few provincial polls from forum in November.
http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/ON%20Horserace%20News%20Release%20(2014%2011%2029)%20Forum%20Research.pdf
37% OLP (-3% from last poll)
37% PC (+2%)
17% NDP (-2%)
7% Green
Not good news for the NDP, but take it with a grain of salt as this is province-wide, Forum underestimated the NDP in June, and we don't have any other pollsters to confirm. Nonetheless 308 has moved Subdury to "Likely Liberal" based on the liberal strength in the Forum polls, and maybe Thibeault's candidacy.
Remember that 308 is a terrible projector, especially with by-elections. Has he even got any of the Newfoundland by-elections correct?
He correctly called a couple Liberal holds, but that doesn't really tell you anything. My fiance could call those and she doesn't even follow politics
