Bush surges in South, flat in Midwest, according to R internals? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 03, 2024, 08:05:06 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2004 U.S. Presidential Election
  2004 U.S. Presidential Election Polls
  Bush surges in South, flat in Midwest, according to R internals? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Bush surges in South, flat in Midwest, according to R internals?  (Read 2293 times)
Hegemon
Rookie
**
Posts: 85


« on: September 02, 2004, 11:46:34 PM »

FWIW, on CNN tonight after the Bush speech, a Wall Street Journal reporter stated that the Republicans' internal polling this week has shown a Bush surge in the south, but no real gains in the midwest battlegrounds.  
Logged
Hegemon
Rookie
**
Posts: 85


« Reply #1 on: September 03, 2004, 12:02:39 AM »

FWIW, on CNN tonight after the Bush speech, a Wall Street Journal reporter stated that the Republicans' internal polling this week has shown a Bush surge in the south, but no real gains in the midwest battlegrounds.  

No reporter would ever get within 200 miles of the internal polls.



Really?  Not even guys like David Broder, Charlie Cook or Ron Faucheux?
Logged
Hegemon
Rookie
**
Posts: 85


« Reply #2 on: September 03, 2004, 08:58:59 AM »

OK, the transcript of the show is up on CNN.com now.  Here is what the WSJ guy (national political editor), said:

JOHN HARWOOD, "WALL STREET JOURNAL": I don't think it did Aaron. In fact I don't think the race is fundamentally changed since before the Democratic convention. Republican polls over the first three nights of the convention that I was told of this afternoon showed movement for President Bush in southern states but not movement in some of the Midwest states. That suggests that maybe some of his base, particularly white men, is coming back to him, but it may not be working in the battleground states and one thing we have to keep in mind, all of these polls may be more difficult to interpret this year because both parties are doing so much to change the composition of the electorate, we don't know who's going to turn out.


So he's not talking about a national tracking poll, but individual state polls.  The Republicans might not be doing polls of Alabama, but aren't they polling Arkansas, and perhaps Virigina and North Carolina? And of course the Florida panhandle is fundamentally southern, unlike the the rest of the state, and they're certainly getting polilng data from there.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.025 seconds with 13 queries.