Oldiesfreak1854
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Posts: 13,674
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« on: September 08, 2016, 05:07:17 PM » |
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Arizona: McCain, but very close; may well go to a recount. (Tossup)
California: Harris
Colorado: Bennet. If a stronger Republican were running, this race could have been close. (Lean D)
Florida: Rubio (Tossup)
Illinois: Kirk; he's a moderate Republican who doesn't frighten suburbanites and hasn't embraced Trump. Polls currently show him in striking distance, while Duckworth is gaffe-prone and facing a lawsuit. But if it were today, he would lose. (Tossup)
Indiana: Young. Bayh is fool's gold for Democrats, although he might win if it were today. (Tossup)
Iowa: Grassley, but will be closer than his previous campaigns because of Merrick Garland. (Lean R)
Louisiana: Kennedy (Lean R)
Missouri: Blunt, but Kander is not to be underestimated. (Tossup)
Nevada: Heck (Tossup)
New Hampshire: Ayotte, but like Arizona, will be close and could easily go to a recount. (Tossup)
North Carolina: Burr
Ohio: Portman, for much the same reasons as Kirk, sans lawsuit. (Tossup)
Pennsylvania: Toomey, but McGinty if it the election were today. (Tossup)
Wisconsin: Feingold. By far, the most likely Senate seat to change hands. Still, I rate it a Tossup because Johnson has enough time to come back with a strong campaign. (Tossup)
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