That's good, because Democrats under-perform their polls in Alaska.
Since when? The last PPP poll for the 2010 Gubernatorial race had Parnell up by 11 and he ended up winning by 22 points. The Atlas average in the Senate race had McAdams at 27% and he only got 23%.
Republicans will have a lot of ammo to use against him - once name recognition goes up and the GOP starts tying to Begich to Obama, this race will go to toss-up.
Plus, it's a PPP poll, and they WAY overstate Democratic numbers, at least early on.