Seriously though, I don’t see any Democratic incumbent losing if this poll is accurate. The Senate is probably Lean/Likely D at this point.
Let’s not get ahead of ourselves, we’re only 6.5 months out still
And Missouri is also a strongly conservative state that Trump won by at least 17 percentage points. Hawley could pursue his attacks against McCaskill by mentioning the numerous times she voted to raise taxes or voted against cutting taxes, labeling her as « Claire McTaxAll » and as too liberal for Missouri.
https://www.clairemctaxall.com/
With Trump crushing all opposition in the GOP primary on a white nationalist welfare for whites policy, economic conservatism is dead. The Reagan era is over, Trump campaigned and won on a policy of being a anti wall street pro worker candidate. He has betrayed that promise, but this does show how nobody in the US cares about economic conservatism anymore.