There is not an ounce of evidence that 2016 will be a landslide election for HRC (user search)
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  There is not an ounce of evidence that 2016 will be a landslide election for HRC (search mode)
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Author Topic: There is not an ounce of evidence that 2016 will be a landslide election for HRC  (Read 2161 times)
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« on: February 26, 2016, 04:17:43 PM »

Honestly there's no telling if Trump is the nominee. Predict it at your own peril.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #1 on: February 26, 2016, 05:09:46 PM »

Trump's favorable ratings with the general public are god-awful and in fact not any better than they were when he began his campaign (as any improvement with Republicans has been replaced by his ratings going into the tank with Dems/Indys). Hillary's are bad, too, but Trump's are way worse. He assures high minority turnout for Hillary, which otherwise would have been a concern for her.

His only chance to win is if there is a major economic meltdown or terrorist attack before the election. Even then, it's not assured.

Absolutely, completely not true - his favorables went from 15/76 to 39/59. His favorables were so bad that Nate Silver wrote him off completely.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #2 on: February 26, 2016, 07:16:25 PM »

Trump's favorable ratings with the general public are god-awful and in fact not any better than they were when he began his campaign (as any improvement with Republicans has been replaced by his ratings going into the tank with Dems/Indys). Hillary's are bad, too, but Trump's are way worse. He assures high minority turnout for Hillary, which otherwise would have been a concern for her.

His only chance to win is if there is a major economic meltdown or terrorist attack before the election. Even then, it's not assured.

Absolutely, completely not true - his favorables went from 15/76 to 39/59. His favorables were so bad that Nate Silver wrote him off completely.

I guess we must be looking at different polls. I don't remember him ever being that underwater (15/76). And the rest of my point still stands since 59 percent unfavorable makes him pretty unelectable.

Unless he's facing an opponent with equally bad favorables like Hillary or someone who has largely not been defined by the GOP like Bernie Sanders.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #3 on: February 26, 2016, 08:35:25 PM »

2) Hillary's a woman. I don't think he can bully her in the same way he has done to Bush/Rubio/Cruz.

Carly Fiorina and Megyn Kelly though

well i mean, that face tho
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