Abortion rights amendment will be on FL ballot this year

[Sol]

MCIMaps went fairly deep into these issues (or as deep as you can go with limited advance warning) in his newsletter today. He has his own biases but the Tallahassee operative does cover some of the questions people are posing here.

Hmmm.. so an amendment to put an abortion ban in the state constitution got 45% in 2012.  That seems like a good starting point.  How net pro-choice do we believe people who have registered to vote in FL since 2012 are?  And how big do we think the No advantage is on referendum like this?

FYI, the referendum was banning state funding for abortion and revising language around the right to privacy in the state constitution pertaining to abortion; it wasn't a ban. It's pretty easy to imagine people who don't want state funding for abortion and who aren't that comfortable with it, but who don't want the current legal status in FL.

[Sol]

If this fails, won't they just come back in 2026 with a 12 or 15 week referendum?  Or would the activists consider that an unacceptable compromise?

That’s not a compromise, it’s a surrender and selling out women throughout the state.  The better option is to just keep getting it on the ballot again every two years until it eventually passes

Skill and Chance is extremely wedded to the idea of some sort of grand compromise on abortion around 12-15 weeks being implemented so that's what they'll wishcast for.