Rhode Island's 2nd Congressional District has an open seat

[Sol]

That said, I do believe it's actually possible to draw a Republican-leaning version of this seat, not that that's what the state is going to do--they'll probably just split Providence again.

[Sol]

That said, I do believe it's actually possible to draw a Republican-leaning version of this seat, not that that's what the state is going to do--they'll probably just split Providence again.

I mean you can barely get a Trump 2016 district if that's what you mean but that would still split the Providence metro.

Tbh I think you basically have to split the Providence metro no matter what--the whole state is the metro to some extent, and the only place that works to cut it in half is around the city.


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I guess Republican-leaning is a bit strong--but this would probably be the most winnable seat for Republicans in New England outside of ME/NH.

[Sol]

Not really. I feel like Republicans have surprisingly large numbers in the VT legislature given how poorly they do statewide.

Yeah, but they win very few communities outright, and the few they win are easily overridden by Dem areas. As pointed out by others the R performance in the state leg. is a "one-party state politics is quirky" type phenomenon, like frequent R wins of the MA governorship.

If Vermont had 9 districts like Massachusetts, it would be equally difficult (or even harder) to draw a Trump 2020 seat.