In what states does current growth and demographic changes favor Republicans?

[Sol]

The growth in coastal parts of NC is beneficial for Republicans of course, but it's also important to note that only really the area between Carteret and Brunswick counties is capable of supporting large beachside communities--the Outer Banks can only support so many people so growth there is kind of structurally limited. It's not like South Carolina, where nearly the entire coast can be urbanized.

As a result I think it's fair to say that on net demographic changes in North Carolina are friendlier to Democrats, although that's nowhere as clear as in Georgia or something--and persuasion is always going to matter more than dull demographics-as-destiny narratives.

[Sol]

Iowa is a good example of how demographic change isn't the end of the story--the Des Moines has moved leftward and grown quite a bit but that doesn't matter at all when Democrats go from winning many rural counties to losing them by large margins.