Suburban areas the GOP is improving in? (user search)
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  Suburban areas the GOP is improving in? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Suburban areas the GOP is improving in?  (Read 1711 times)
Sol
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,241
Bosnia and Herzegovina


« on: July 26, 2021, 03:11:15 PM »

There's a pattern of a certain kind of suburban area which swung to Trump by quite a bit in 2016--the general tendency is a historically white, often quite Catholic, middle class type area, though some of these places are a bit richer (see Long Island) and some a bit poorer (the Illinois side of St. Louis). These places are usually outside of the city's favored quarters in any case, and tend to be much less college-educated. Nevertheless, they've been somewhat winnable for Democrats because of region (this is a Northeast and Midwest phenomenon), historic ties to union labor (even if people have moved up in income brackets) and lack of social conservatism/ties to evangelical Protestantism (though this varies a LOT).

I'm thinking of Northwest Indiana, Macomb County, quite a bit of suburban Buffalo, Northern KCMO suburbs, in addition to the places referenced above. I'm sure there are plenty more.

It's worth noting that these voters are pretty radically different from the archetypal "WWC" voter--a white suburban family in Tonawanda making $55,000 a year is in a very different socioeconomic position than a poor family in McDowell County. Describing both as WWC stretches the term to the limits of usefulness.

In any case, describing places like these as places where the GOP is improving is a bit broad as well. Places like this did generally have a strong swing to Trump in 2016, but the pattern in 2020 was in most cases was a big swing back to Biden, who calibrated his campaign on appealing to these voters. Generally speaking, voters like these have been prone to massive oscillation anyway, so I doubt that any party will corner the market.
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Sol
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,241
Bosnia and Herzegovina


« Reply #1 on: July 27, 2021, 09:40:58 PM »

Adams County is around 30% Latino also.
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