I don't understand how statewide races can ever end up without a serious nominee. What, the state party can't convince some random state rep to give it a go? Even as a sacrificial lamb?
Baldwin is favored against pretty much anyone in Wisconsin, but Clarke could tank the entire ticket in the state, including Trump. Someone needs to run for the sole purpose of ensuring Clarke doesn’t get the nomination.
Reverse coattails don't exist.
They happened to some extent in North Carolina in 2020, as Cal Cunningham’s scandal likely impacted Joe Biden’s losing margin there by maybe 10,000 votes. 2024 I don’t see any reverse coattail scenarios happening. There will be a lot of split ticket Biden-Republican voters, but very few split ticket Trump-Democrat voters.