Will Charlie Crist win reelection?

[Donerail]

he'll hold the seat for as long as he wants it

his most credible republican opponents are either running for other office (latvala, baker) or have been thoroughly excommunicated by party leadership (jolly)

[Donerail]

Crist is safe for '18 and '20. Obviously it's impossible to know if he'll get screwed or not in the next round of redistricting.

I doubt redistricting will become an issue for Crist. There's really no way to change the shape of the district.

[Donerail]

Crist is safe for '18 and '20. Obviously it's impossible to know if he'll get screwed or not in the next round of redistricting.

I doubt redistricting will become an issue for Crist. There's really no way to change the shape of the district.

If Florida gains the 1 seat it is expected to, yeah Crist's district should be fine, if it gains 2 which is a possibility, it could get changed pretty easily.

it really can't. pinellas is pretty much built out at this point, and the court's rejected water continuity for this district as a fair districts violation in the past. there's really no other shape you can draw here.