So what does a Romney collapse look like? (user search)
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  So what does a Romney collapse look like? (search mode)
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Author Topic: So what does a Romney collapse look like?  (Read 2504 times)
Donerail
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« on: September 14, 2012, 06:11:25 PM »


Current map should have MO and IN at least leaning Romney, and NC leaning Romney.  GA, MT, AZ are all completely solid. 

...with recent polls showing Obama within the MOE in MO, MT, and NC (in R-leaning polls, mind you)? I don't think so...

MISSOURI: R+3, R+20, R+12, R+7, R+17. Average of about R+10, which is not in the margin of error.

MONTANA: R+3 is the only recent one (PPP); taking into account previous Rassy and PPP polls, it's about R+7; not in the margin of error.

NORTH CAROLINA: O+1, R+1, Tie, R+3, R+4, R+1; R+2, which is within the margin of error.

Polling says Montana, Missouri, Arizona, Georgia, and Indiana are all pretty safe for Romney and North Carolina tilting towards him.
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Donerail
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« Reply #1 on: September 15, 2012, 09:48:02 AM »



Obama - 55%  383 EV
Romney - 42%  169 EV
Johnson - 2%
Others - 1%

This, basically.

With a couple of changes, this is the worst Romney can do barring apocalyptic scenarios.
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Donerail
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« Reply #2 on: September 15, 2012, 03:14:54 PM »

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Romney's not taking the south.

Do explain why every poll conducted so far is wrong?
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