Can Trump swing Pennsylvania in the general election? (user search)
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  Can Trump swing Pennsylvania in the general election? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Can Trump flip Pennsylvania in the general election?
#1
yes
 
#2
no
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 104

Author Topic: Can Trump swing Pennsylvania in the general election?  (Read 5868 times)
Asian Nazi
d32123
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,523
China


« on: February 16, 2016, 11:18:07 AM »

TRUMP is probably the only Republican who'd stand a chance of winning it
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Asian Nazi
d32123
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,523
China


« Reply #1 on: February 16, 2016, 02:02:39 PM »


Lol
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Asian Nazi
d32123
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,523
China


« Reply #2 on: February 16, 2016, 03:27:58 PM »

Anyone who answers yes is oblivious to the cencus demographics, previous voting trends and there literally being no reasonable way to make the numbers work for Trumps favor.

Trump will never, ever, swing PA.

Tell me, are you always this low energy?
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Asian Nazi
d32123
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,523
China


« Reply #3 on: February 16, 2016, 03:42:30 PM »

Anyone who answers yes is oblivious to the cencus demographics, previous voting trends and there literally being no reasonable way to make the numbers work for Trumps favor.

Trump will never, ever, swing PA in '16. You can't just pull the "whites love Trump!" card as anecdotal evidence to come to the conclusion he somehow wins statewide. He literally has no reasonable path with the numbers & demographics to win >50% of votes cast in the state.

Tell me, are you always this low energy?

I'll bite.

Nothing in regards to energy, just stating some facts, friend.


How do you know this?
Remember where TRUMP was back in June/July? Everybody was making fun of his candidacy.
His favorables were awful.

And behold where he is now!

What makes you think he won't do it again in the general?


His favorables were awful in a highly conservative Republican primary and party which he has turned around appealing with red meat to white uneducated primary voters. General is a completely different story.

And favorability aside, with Trumps hit in Latinos & Asians & college educated whites, he would need nearly 69% of the uneducated whites (with a massive turnout) and 10% of the black vote to even tip PA with razer thin margins. 69% of the uneducated white vote, with a 5-7%+ turnout bump and blacks running to Trump with lack of turnout is not happening. 69% of uneducated whites is not happening. Romney ran up records with 62% of uneducated whites at a 57% turnout (this model uses a 65% turnout + the massive boost to even get the state to flip)

There is no reasonable non-anecdotal path for Trump to flip the state. Sorry.

It's going to be so fun when TRUMP wins and all of the low energy wannabe Nate Silvers on this forum have meltdowns.
Logged
Asian Nazi
d32123
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,523
China


« Reply #4 on: February 16, 2016, 04:00:20 PM »

Anyone who answers yes is oblivious to the cencus demographics, previous voting trends and there literally being no reasonable way to make the numbers work for Trumps favor.

Trump will never, ever, swing PA in '16. You can't just pull the "whites love Trump!" card as anecdotal evidence to come to the conclusion he somehow wins statewide. He literally has no reasonable path with the numbers & demographics to win >50% of votes cast in the state.

Tell me, are you always this low energy?

I'll bite.

Nothing in regards to energy, just stating some facts, friend.


How do you know this?
Remember where TRUMP was back in June/July? Everybody was making fun of his candidacy.
His favorables were awful.

And behold where he is now!

What makes you think he won't do it again in the general?


His favorables were awful in a highly conservative Republican primary and party which he has turned around appealing with red meat to white uneducated primary voters. General is a completely different story.

And favorability aside, with Trumps hit in Latinos & Asians & college educated whites, he would need nearly 69% of the uneducated whites (with a massive turnout) and 10% of the black vote to even tip PA with razer thin margins. 69% of the uneducated white vote, with a 5-7%+ turnout bump and blacks running to Trump with lack of turnout is not happening. 69% of uneducated whites is not happening. Romney ran up records with 62% of uneducated whites at a 57% turnout (this model uses a 65% turnout + the massive boost to even get the state to flip)

There is no reasonable non-anecdotal path for Trump to flip the state. Sorry.

It's going to be so fun when TRUMP wins and all of the low energy wannabe Nate Silvers on this forum have meltdowns.

You truly should be banned for plastering stupid sh**t around the forum all day

lol.

What a low energy comeback
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