2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 651552 times)
philly09
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« Reply #50 on: November 04, 2020, 10:18:46 PM »
Quote from: Horsemask on November 04, 2020, 10:17:25 PM
Is there any indication of why AP and Fox News were confident in calling AZ for Biden?

Crossover votes from McCain loyalists to Biden.
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philly09
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« Reply #51 on: November 04, 2020, 10:22:20 PM »
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philly09
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« Reply #52 on: November 04, 2020, 10:31:18 PM »
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philly09
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« Reply #53 on: November 04, 2020, 10:32:54 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Electable (SEN: R+2) on November 04, 2020, 10:32:02 PM
Quote from: philly09 on November 04, 2020, 10:22:20 PM


A 3 point swing is terrific?

In a heavily GOP county, yes it is.  Biden is outperforming Hillary in deep red counties.
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philly09
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« Reply #54 on: November 04, 2020, 10:33:31 PM »
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philly09
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« Reply #55 on: November 04, 2020, 10:42:10 PM »
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philly09
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« Reply #56 on: November 04, 2020, 10:46:44 PM »
116-117k ballots are outstanding in NC, per CBS.
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philly09
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« Reply #57 on: November 04, 2020, 10:47:42 PM »
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philly09
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« Reply #58 on: November 04, 2020, 10:49:13 PM »
Quote from: brucejoel99 on November 04, 2020, 10:48:31 PM
Quote from: philly09 on November 04, 2020, 10:46:44 PM
116-117k ballots are outstanding in NC, per CBS.

Where are they from, what are they (in-person or mail-in), & what does this all mean for Biden/Cunningham's chances? Presumably nothing, given the current margins?

Mail ballots.
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philly09
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« Reply #59 on: November 04, 2020, 10:54:05 PM »
Quote from: n1240 on November 04, 2020, 10:50:05 PM
Biden has taken a 1% lead in Bucks County and there are 30k ballots left to count in the county.

Boom-shacka-lacka.  The most GOP-friendly suburb of Philly. If Biden can win by more than 2, he's in great shape. Obama and Hillary barely won it.
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philly09
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« Reply #60 on: November 04, 2020, 10:57:58 PM »

Not a lot of data from the Anchorage area yet.
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philly09
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« Reply #61 on: November 04, 2020, 11:05:24 PM »
Quote from: Calthrina950 on November 04, 2020, 11:02:16 PM
Quote from: Calthrina950 on November 04, 2020, 10:51:47 PM
I've a question. Does anyone have a guess as to how many counties Biden won? Looking at the county map, it appears that Biden flipped about 15-20 Trump counties from 2016 nationwide, while Trump flipped about a dozen Clinton counties. Biden didn't come anywhere near to approaching Barack Obama's 2012 numbers, let alone his 2008 numbers.

Bumping this forward because I don't think it was seen.

He's out performing Hillary in Lackawanna County, and Luzerne County isn't done yet.
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philly09
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« Reply #62 on: November 04, 2020, 11:07:10 PM »
Stu's getting a little cranky.
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philly09
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« Reply #63 on: November 04, 2020, 11:16:16 PM »
Anybody know what happened with Will Hurd's seat in TX?
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philly09
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« Reply #64 on: November 04, 2020, 11:24:02 PM »
What was Dan Crenshaw's margin?
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philly09
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« Reply #65 on: November 04, 2020, 11:25:38 PM »
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philly09
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« Reply #66 on: November 04, 2020, 11:28:21 PM »
Quote from: n1240 on November 04, 2020, 11:26:38 PM
Looks like Chester County PA finished their mail-in count, 13% more votes than 2016 and Biden's margin is 7% higher than Clinton's (9.3% -> 16.5%). Biden is really running up the margins he needs in the Dem trending areas while Trump really isn't doing much better in the rural parts of the state.

And Trump is underperforming in some of his areas like Lancaster. When Erie's mail ballots come in, Biden is expected to take the lead.
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philly09
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« Reply #67 on: November 04, 2020, 11:50:25 PM »
Conor Lamb has declared victory.
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philly09
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« Reply #68 on: November 04, 2020, 11:54:53 PM »
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philly09
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« Reply #69 on: November 05, 2020, 12:06:41 AM »
We are approaching an interesting situation here.  Fox News and AP have called AZ for Biden, giving him 264 votes. If GA goes for Biden in the next hour, they will be the first networks/news orgs to declare Biden the next President. All the other networks will be running with the 269 narrative.
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philly09
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« Reply #70 on: November 05, 2020, 12:13:49 AM »
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philly09
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« Reply #71 on: November 05, 2020, 12:18:03 AM »
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philly09
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« Reply #72 on: November 05, 2020, 12:19:49 AM »
From CNN: Fulton County will keep counting until they are done.
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philly09
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« Reply #73 on: November 05, 2020, 12:29:11 AM »
GA margin: 29,000 votes.
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philly09
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« Reply #74 on: November 05, 2020, 12:31:13 AM »

Between the two. Actually, it's 28,800
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