The real question is do Dems hold their state legislative supermajorities.
Also, I think a Dem trifecta MD would be a prime target to join Cali and NY in the GOPs punching bag. MD frankly has a lot of problems, its association with DC is meaningful, and also you have a lot of white liberals and a lot of black communities that aren’t doing so well, which the GOP loves to pit against each other (yes ik Ann Arundel County exists)
Don’t think there are enough elite conservatives living in MD as there are in CA and NY. Seems like DMV conservatives tend to live in Virginia/DC more.