Franklin and Marshall College: Casey(D) leading by 5 points against Santorum(R)

[Jake]

This race is clearly within six points. I hope the remaining partisan hacks realize this.

It might be, but I'm not going to believe what this crap uni polls says.

Also note Al's post above. That's a bit of a strange shift, don't you think?

Five polls have the race from 5-8% difference. Not one poll. No poll conducted in the last month shows the race as any different from 5-8% difference.

[Jake]

The last time they polled they did it under a different system and they did it in May.

For full disclosure (and for those who can't read the poll section for PA):

Rasmussen:
D - 56 R - 33   D+23 May 22
D - 52 R - 37   D+15 Jun 19
D - 50 R - 39   D+11 July 26
D - 48 R - 40   D+8   Aug 21

Q Uni Poll:
D - 49 R - 36   D+13 May 8
D - 52 R - 34   D+18 Jun 19
D - 48 R - 42   D+6   Aug 13

SV:
D - 49 R - 41   D+8   May 7
D - 49 R - 40   D+9   Jun 11
D - 50 R - 40   D+10 July 16
D - 47 R - 41   D+6   Aug 13

Those three are the only ones which have monthly polled PA since May. Muhlenberg and Franklin and Marshall have run August polls, but none before that this summer.

Here's the poll section for PA.