Zogby Interactive: This is officially the funniest sh**t ever. (user search)
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  Zogby Interactive: This is officially the funniest sh**t ever. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Zogby Interactive: This is officially the funniest sh**t ever.  (Read 4647 times)
kevinatcausa
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Posts: 196
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -5.04

« on: July 09, 2008, 11:48:52 AM »
« edited: July 09, 2008, 11:53:26 AM by kevinatcausa »

Apparently a map based on the actual polling data would have been too absurd even for Zogby, so he had to make up his own criterion for the colors.  For example:


Florida: McCain +4 (2.5x MOE), McCain gets the state
Iowa: Obama +4 (1x MOE), Obama gets the state
Texas: McCain+3 (1.76x MOE), McCain gets the state
Colorado: Obama+2 (0.56x MOE), Obama gets the state
Oklahoma: McCain+5 (1x MOE), McCain

Virginia: Obama+5 (1.78xMOE), Too Close to Call
North Carolina: Obama+9 (3.3xMOE) Too Close to Call

Alaska has a "Single Digit" lead for McCain (with likely a huge margin of error), but he just calls the state for McCain based on conventional wisdom instead of giving the actual data (I wouldn't be surprised if this is what happened with Vermont too--the actual results were absurdly close with a huge margin of error, so he just chose not to present them.)


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kevinatcausa
Rookie
**
Posts: 196
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -5.04

« Reply #1 on: July 09, 2008, 04:59:54 PM »

Ooh...I missed New Hampshire from my list above!   I think Zogby's methods were:

Look at my polling results, and look at what everyone else's results were.  If they match, color the state accordingly.  Otherwise, make it purple regardless of the actual polling results. 
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