kevinatcausa
Rookie
Posts: 196
Political Matrix E: -1.94, S: -5.04
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« on: July 09, 2008, 11:48:52 AM » |
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« edited: July 09, 2008, 11:53:26 AM by kevinatcausa »
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Apparently a map based on the actual polling data would have been too absurd even for Zogby, so he had to make up his own criterion for the colors. For example:
Florida: McCain +4 (2.5x MOE), McCain gets the state Iowa: Obama +4 (1x MOE), Obama gets the state Texas: McCain+3 (1.76x MOE), McCain gets the state Colorado: Obama+2 (0.56x MOE), Obama gets the state Oklahoma: McCain+5 (1x MOE), McCain
Virginia: Obama+5 (1.78xMOE), Too Close to Call North Carolina: Obama+9 (3.3xMOE) Too Close to Call
Alaska has a "Single Digit" lead for McCain (with likely a huge margin of error), but he just calls the state for McCain based on conventional wisdom instead of giving the actual data (I wouldn't be surprised if this is what happened with Vermont too--the actual results were absurdly close with a huge margin of error, so he just chose not to present them.)
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