electoral-vote maps coming into 2004 (user search)
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  electoral-vote maps coming into 2004 (search mode)
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Author Topic: electoral-vote maps coming into 2004  (Read 3473 times)
kevinatcausa
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« on: June 18, 2008, 03:20:56 PM »

I don't think they even use a trend.  Their algorithm looks to me like:

Average all polls within a week of the most recent poll in each state, treating each poll equally.  If Obama's ahead, award the state 100% to Obama.  If McCain's ahead, award the state 100% to McCain. 

It tends to make for dramatic swings in the electoral vote totals.
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